º£½ÇÖ±²¥

As COP30 gathers, what's the latest in climate science?

As COP30 gathers, what's the latest in climate science?
An elderly farmer sits while children swim in flood waters in Alipur, a town of Muzaffargarh district in Punjab province on September 12, 2025, after the Head Panjnad overflowed following heavy monsoon rains. (AFP/ file)
Short Url
Updated 9 min 19 sec ago

As COP30 gathers, what's the latest in climate science?

As COP30 gathers, what's the latest in climate science?
  • Coral die-off marks first climate tipping point, Amazon and Atlantic current at risk
  • US climate work hit by Trump plans to cut, but other nations still spending on science

BELEM, Brazil: With the pace of climate change speeding up, extreme weather and other impacts are taking an increasing toll on populations and environments across the globe.

Here are some of the developments this year in climate science:

WARMER, FASTER

Global temperatures are not just climbing, they are now climbing faster than before, with new records logged for 2023 and 2024, and at points in 2025. That finding was part of a key study in June that updated baseline data used in the science reports done every few years by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The new research shows the average global temperature rising at a rate of 0.27 degrees Celsius each decade – or almost 50% faster than in the 1990s and 2000s when the warming rate was around 0.2 C per decade.

Sea levels are rising faster now too – at about 4.5 millimeters per year over the last decade, compared with 1.85 mm per year measured across the decades since 1900. The world is now on track to cross the 1.5 C warming threshold around 2030, after which scientists warn we will likely trigger catastrophic, irreversible impacts. Already, the world has warmed by 1.3-1.4 C since the pre-industrial era, according to the World Meteorological Organization.

TIPPING POINTS

Warm-water corals are in an almost irreversible die-off from successive marine heatwaves - marking what would be the first so-called climate tipping point, when an environmental system begins to shift into a different state. Researchers in October also warned that the Amazon rainforest could begin to die back and transform into a different ecosystem, such as savannah, if rapid deforestation continues as global warming crosses 1.5 C, which is earlier than previously estimated.

They said meltwater from the thawing ice sheet atop Greenland could help cause an earlier collapse in the ocean current called the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, or AMOC, that keeps winters mild in Europe. In Antarctica, where ice sheets are also under threat, scientists are worried about declining sea ice surrounding the southernmost continent. Similar to what is happening in the Arctic, ice loss exposes dark water that can absorb more solar radiation - which amplifies the overall warming trend. It also jeopardizes the growth of phytoplankton that consume much of the world's CO2.

LAND ON FIRE

Along with heatwaves and drought, wildfires still threaten to be frequent and severe. This year’s State of Wildfires report, led by a group of weather agencies and universities, counted some 3.7 million square kilometers (1.4 million square miles) as having burned between March 2024 and February 2025 - an area about the size of India and Norway combined.

That was slightly less than the annual average burned for the last two decades. But the fires produced higher CO2 emissions than before, as more carbon-dense forests burned.

DEADLY HEAT

Researchers are working on ways to assess heat-related health risks and tolls, as U.N. health and weather agencies estimate about half the world's population is already struggling. The agencies also estimate worker productivity dropping 2-3% for every degree above 20 C, while another study in the Lancet journal in October estimates global losses of more than $1 trillion from that lost productivity for last year alone.

There is no consistent international definition for a heat-related death, but technology advances are helping scientists to bridge data gaps and compare conditions from place to place. For example in Europe, one team at the UK's Imperial College used mortality trends to estimate more than 24,400 deaths this summer related to heat exposure across about 30% of the European population. They attributed up to 70% of those deaths to climate-fueled heat, based on the same mortality trends applied to a model of Europe without global warming. For last year's record-hot European summer, another team used computer modeling to examine mortality statistics along with temperature data and health parameters, estimating more than 62,700 heat-related deaths across 32 countries, or about 70% of the continent's population.

SCIENCE UNDER ATTACK

The U.S. administration under climate-denying President Donald Trump is hoping to slash funding for agencies that collect and monitor climate and weather data, worrying a scientific community that says U.S. leadership will be hard to replace. Trump's 2026 budget request, yet to be approved by Congress, proposes halving the annual budget for NASA Earth Science to about $1 billion and cutting NOAA's spending by more than a quarter to $4.5 billion while eliminating its climate research arm, among other cuts. Elsewhere, however, public science spending is increasing, with record budgets for science research in China, the UK, Japan, and the European Union. The EU also last month opened its real-time weather data monitoring to public access.

Ìı


Pakistan parliamentary committees review 27th constitutional amendment after cabinet's approval

Pakistan parliamentary committees review 27th constitutional amendment after cabinet's approval
Updated 3 sec ago

Pakistan parliamentary committees review 27th constitutional amendment after cabinet's approval

Pakistan parliamentary committees review 27th constitutional amendment after cabinet's approval
  • The amendment proposes new constitutional court, revising distribution of federal revenue, judicial and military appointments
  • A multi-party opposition alliance on Saturday announced a nationwide protest campaign against the proposed constitutional changes

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan's Senate and National Assembly committees on law and justice on Sunday met in Islamabad to discuss the proposed 27th constitutional amendment, a day after its approval from the federal cabinet.

The amendment proposes creating a new constitutional court, restoring executive magistrates, revising the distribution of federal revenue among provinces under the National Finance Commission (NFC) and making changes to how senior judges and military leadership appointments are structured within the constitution.

The bill proposes that the transfer of judges be handled by the Judicial Commission of Pakistan, titles given to national heroes should remain with them for lifetime, and provincial cabinet threshold of 11 percent be increased to 13 percent for smaller provinces like Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan.

The draft amendment, which has been opposed by an alliance of opposition parties, was referred to the Senate standing committee on law and justice for a review after Law Minister Azam Nazeer Tarar tabled in the upper house of parliament on Saturday.

"The remaining proposals, on which debate was not held, there will be a meeting on them," Farooq H. Naek, who heads the Senate panel, told reporters ahead of the meeting.

He said the joint parliamentary panel would review changes to clauses relating to the transfer of judges, immunity of president and command of the armed forces.

"An opinion will be sought on all clauses and after that, this will be finalized... Definitely, we have complete hope that we will complete it today," Naek added.

In Pakistan, constitutional amendments have historically been used to reshape the balance of power between the legislature, judiciary and provinces.

The proposed 27th amendment follows the 26th amendment passed in October 2024, which gave parliament a role in appointing the chief justice and created a new panel of senior judges to hear constitutional cases, measures critics said weakened judicial independence.

Pakistan’s constitution, adopted in 1973, has been amended more than two dozen times, often reflecting shifts in authority among civilian governments and the military. Provisions governing the NFC award are among the most politically sensitive because they underpin the country’s federal structure and provincial autonomy.

On Saturday, the Tehreek-e-Tahaffuz-e-Ayeen-e-Pakistan (TTAP), a multi-party opposition alliance, announced a nationwide protest campaign against the proposed amendment.

"The constitution is being tampered with. Our own parliament is attacking the constitution, so we have no other option, we will go to the people," Mahmood Khan Achakzai, a senior member of the opposition alliance, said in a post on X.

The Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI), the main opposition party led by jailed former prime minister Imran Khan, said the amendment would harm democracy, judicial independence and civilian supremacy in the country.

"The new constitutional draft contained not a single amendment in the public interest; rather, it is entirely person-specific and self-serving, aimed at centralizing power and empowering the elite," PTI's Central Information Secretary Sheikh Waqas Akram said in a sharply worded statement.

"Pakistan must put an end to the culture of arbitrary extensions and raising retirement ages."

But State Minister for Law Aqeel Malik said the approval of the 27th constitutional amendment by the federal cabinet marks a “significant step toward strengthening the supremacy of parliament.â€

“This amendment not only symbolizes the strengthening of democratic institutions but also fulfills the long-cherished vision of establishing a constitutional court,†he said.

“This development represents a positive and historic milestone toward promoting constitutional balance, transparent accountability, and institutional harmony across the country.â€