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African elections often lack a crucial component: an opposition

African elections often lack a crucial component: an opposition
A pedestrian walks past a billboard of Cameroon's President Paul Biya reading: "I thank the sovereign people for electing me" on a street in Yaounde. (AFP)
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African elections often lack a crucial component: an opposition

African elections often lack a crucial component: an opposition
  • Behind the scenes are political and business elites that want to ensure their interests are not challenged, but are now spooked by a young generation demanding better governance and jobs

NAIROBI: Multiple African presidents are finding ways to block opposition candidates from running against them, turning elections into foregone conclusions that risk provoking violent unrest and undermining faith in democracy.
Tanzania’s elections descended into violence on Wednesday as voters rebelled against the lack of choice, with the two serious rivals to President Samia Suluhu Hassan either jailed or barred from running.
A day earlier, Ivory Coast President Alassane Ouattara won a fourth term with almost 90 percent of the vote after his two main opponents were similarly excluded.
In Cameroon, 92-year-old Paul Biya, the world’s oldest head of state, secured re-election for an eighth term this month, helped by the fact that his strongest challenger was barred from standing by the constitutional court.
There has been a decline in democracy worldwide in recent decades, with authoritarians finding inventive ways to block opponents everywhere from Asia to Europe to the Americas.
But it has been a striking trend in sub-Saharan Africa, showing “a crisis of democratic governance on the continent,” said Heritier Brilland Ndakpanga, of the Center for Humanitarian Dialogue.
2024 was considered a banner year for African democracy, with opposition parties winning power in Ghana, Botswana, Mauritius and Senegal.
But those were always among the continent’s most democratic countries, and the results may have encouraged other governments to take no chances at the ballot box.
Supposedly independent electoral bodies are often weaponized against the opposition, say analysts.
The running of elections is “in the hands not just of the government... but its most intransigent parts,” said Stephane Akoa, political scientist in Cameroon, bemoaning a “perversion of the system” in his country.
In Central African Republic, the opposition is boycotting polls in December, saying the election body is not independent.
Similar complaints by Tanzania’s opposition were the reason it was barred from taking part in this week’s vote, with its leader, Tundu Lissu, jailed on treason charges for calling for electoral reforms.

- Changing world order -

Behind the scenes are political and business elites that want to ensure their interests are not challenged, but are now spooked by a young generation demanding better governance and jobs.
So-called Gen Z protests have drawn violent crackdowns in Kenya, and toppled the Madagascar government this month, leading to a military takeover.
“People are becoming harder to control and creating more effective opposition movements, and governments are responding with the mechanism they’ve used historically, which is repression,” said Nic Cheeseman, an African elections expert at the University of Birmingham.
Meanwhile, there is less and less pressure from outside, as new international partners make their presence felt in Africa, notably China, Russia, Turkiye and the United Arab Emirates.
“African governments have alternatives in 2025,” said Mandipa Ndlovu, researcher with Leiden University’s African Studies Center.
“Geopolitical competition is eroding the rule of law. Democracy is not a prerequisite for working with China or Russia.”
As for the United States, President Donald Trump’s administration has taken a more transactional approach to diplomacy, telling its embassies to rein in criticism of elections.
“You’re not going to get pushback at all from the US, which historically has been one of the most outspoken when it comes to elections,” said Cheeseman, adding that US foreign-aid cuts have also removed support to pro-democracy groups.

- New generation -

All this makes for a volatile atmosphere.
Tanzanians have long been seen as one of Africa’s most docile populations, so the eruption of violence this week came as a shock to many.
“Gen Z will save us all,” said Ndlovu. “They are coming through and saying this is ridiculous, demanding that their governments provide jobs and proper governance.
“But if we can’t fix the institutions, nothing will change.”
That can require a major crisis, such as Kenya saw in 2007 and 2008, when a disputed election took the country to the brink of civil war.
That scared the elites into reforms and a new democratic constitution that has largely kept elections free and fair.
“But big protests around elections are probably not enough on their own to get regimes and the elite to change course,” said Cheeseman.
“What worries me is that in many countries, populations are becoming increasingly demanding and governments are becoming increasingly repressive.”


Why emboldened Kim had little need for photo-op with Trump

Updated 5 sec ago

Why emboldened Kim had little need for photo-op with Trump

Why emboldened Kim had little need for photo-op with Trump
GYEONGJU: US President Donald Trump may have hoped for an impromptu talk with his old friend Kim Jong Un during a recent trip to Asia, but analysts say the increasingly emboldened North Korean despot had few good reasons to join the photo-op.
Trump sent repeated overtures to Kim during his barnstorming tour of Asia, saying he was “100 percent” open to a meeting and even bucking decades of US policy by conceding that North Korea was “sort of a nuclear power.”
But Pyongyang kept mum on the invitation, instead firing off missiles and sending its foreign minister to Russia and Belarus, with whom it has deepened ties in recent years.
“The brutal reality is that Kim Jong Un had no incentive to participate,” said Seong-Hyon Lee, a visiting scholar at the Harvard University Asia Center.
“It was a fundamental miscalculation by Washington to believe he would,” said Lee.
Trump’s repeated overtures instead represented a “victory” for the North Korean leader — offering him and his nuclear program a massive degree of credibility, Lee said.
“President Trump gave Kim a massive, unearned concession,” he explained.
The pair — who Trump once famously declared were “in love” — last met in 2019 at Panmunjom in the Demilitarized Zone (DMZ) separating the two Koreas after the US leader extended an invitation to Kim on Twitter.
That overture to Pyongyang spearheaded by Trump eventually collapsed over the scope of denuclearization of the North and sanctions relief.
Since then, North Korea has declared itself an “irreversible” nuclear state and forged close links to Russia, sending troops to support Moscow in its war on Ukraine.
Kim is now in a “pretty sweet spot,” Soo Kim, a former CIA analyst, told AFP.
“Russia’s backing is probably one of the most decisive factors strengthening and cementing North Korea’s strategic hand these days,” she said.
“He maintains the upper hand, which makes it easier for him to pass on Trump’s invitation,” Kim told AFP.
Heading home from South Korea and a meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, Trump said he had been too “busy” to meet Kim, though he added he could return.
The scene stood in stark contrast to 2019, when denuclearization and sanctions relief talks in Hanoi, Vietnam, collapsed in dramatic fashion — leaving Kim to endure a long train journey back to Pyongyang with no deal in hand.
Vladimir Tikhonov, Korean Studies professor at the University of Oslo, told AFP that experience had left Pyongyang sore.
“They don’t want to venture forward too rushingly,” he said.
Instead, Tikhonov said, Pyongyang may be holding out for more specific proposals from Trump, including formal diplomatic recognition and sanctions relief without denuclearization.

- Friends like these -

And closer alliances elsewhere mean Kim has little reason to chase approval from Washington.
This week, Pyongyang’s foreign minister Choe Son Hui headed to Moscow, where she and Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed to strengthen bilateral ties.
Analysts say North Korea is receiving extensive financial aid, military technology, and food and energy assistance from Russia.
That has allowed it to sidestep tough international sanctions imposed over its nuclear and missile programs that were once a crucial bargaining chip for the United States.
Freeflowing trade with China — which soared to its highest level in nearly six years last month, according to analysts — has also helped ease Pyongyang’s economic isolation.
Last month, Kim appeared alongside Xi Jinping and Russia’s Vladimir Putin at an elaborate military parade in Beijing — a striking display of his new, elevated status in global politics.
Kim now has “no reason to trade this new, high-status quo for a photo-op” with Trump, said Harvard’s Lee.
Kim has a “strategic lifeline from Russia and China, and he sees the US-China competition as a long-term guarantee of his own maneuverability.”
The North Korean leader is now operating from a “position of strength.”

Taiwan does not want China’s ‘one country, two systems’, president says

Taiwan does not want China’s ‘one country, two systems’, president says
Updated 5 min 30 sec ago

Taiwan does not want China’s ‘one country, two systems’, president says

Taiwan does not want China’s ‘one country, two systems’, president says
  • Taiwan will defend its freedom and democracy, president says
  • China making a renewed push for Taiwan to accept its autonomy offer

HUKOU, Taiwan: Taiwan does not want China’s “one country, two systems” and must uphold its freedom and democracy, and resolve to defend itself, President Lai Ching-te said on Friday, rejecting Beijing’s latest push to get the island to come under Chinese control.
China said this week it “absolutely will not” rule out using force over Taiwan, striking a much tougher tone than a series of articles in state media that pledged benign rule if the island comes over to Beijing under a system of autonomy it uses for Hong Kong and Macau.
Lai, whom China views as a “separatist,” told soldiers at a military base in northern Taiwan’s Hukou that only strength can bring true peace.
“Accepting the aggressor’s claims and abandoning sovereignty certainly cannot achieve peace. Therefore, we must maintain the status quo with dignity and resolve, firmly opposing annexation, aggression, and the forced advancement of unification,” he said.
“We reject ‘one country, two systems’ because we will forever uphold our free and democratic constitutional system,” Lai added.
China’s Taiwan Affairs Office did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
No support for China’s proposal
No major political party in Taiwan supports China’s “one country, two systems” idea.
Lai said that the Republic of China – Taiwan’s formal name – and the People’s Republic of China are “not subordinate” to each other and that “Taiwan’s sovereignty cannot be violated or annexed” and its future can only be decided by its people.
“The Taiwanese people safeguarding their sovereignty and preserving their democratic and free way of life should not be viewed as provocation. Investing in national defense is investing in peace.”
Lai has pledged to increase military spending to 5 percent of GDP by 2030, strengthening the island’s defenses in the face of a rising threat from its giant neighbor China.
Lai was in Hukou for a commissioning ceremony for Taiwan’s first battalion of M1A2T Abrams tanks, made by General Dynamics Land Systems, a unit of US firm General Dynamics.
Taiwan has so far received 80 of the 108 M1A2T tanks it ordered from the United States, the island’s most important international backer and arms supplier despite the lack of formal diplomatic ties.
The M1A2T tank can fire high explosive anti-tank warheads and kinetic energy ammunition, such as armor-piercing fin-stabilized discarding sabot.
The US is bound by law to provide Taiwan with the means to defend itself, though President Donald Trump has yet to approve any new arms sales since he took office earlier this year.
US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, meeting Chinese Defense Minister Dong Jun in Kuala Lumpur on Friday, said he had emphasized US concerns about China’s activities around Taiwan, as well as in the contested South China Sea.
Dong said China-Taiwan “reunification” was an irreversible historical trend and the US should take a clear stance in opposition to the island’s independence, his ministry said in a statement.


US will ‘stoutly defend’ its interests, defense secretary tells China

US will ‘stoutly defend’ its interests, defense secretary tells China
Updated 12 min 47 sec ago

US will ‘stoutly defend’ its interests, defense secretary tells China

US will ‘stoutly defend’ its interests, defense secretary tells China
  • Hegseth raised concern about China’s actions toward Washington’s regional allies and partners

KUALA LUMPUR: The United States will “stoutly defend its interests,” Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth told Chinese counterpart Dong Jun during a meeting on Friday in Kuala Lumpur, flagging the importance of maintaining a balance of power in the region.
The meeting, following a September teleconference, was the latest sign of gradually improving communication between the two sides, amid roiling regional tension and increased military deployments across East Asia.
Hegseth told the Chinese minister of national defense that the United States was concerned about China’s activities in the disputed South China Sea and around Taiwan, he said in a post on X that described their meeting as “good and constructive.”
“We will continue discussions with the People’s Liberation Army on matters of mutual importance,” he wrote after they met on the sidelines of a gathering of ASEAN defense ministers in the Malaysian capital.
“The United States does not seek conflict,” he added. “It will continue to stoutly defend its interests and ensure it has the capabilities in the region to do so.”
The Chinese defense ministry did not immediately respond to Reuters’ requests for comment.
Hegseth also said he raised concern about China’s actions toward Washington’s regional allies and partners, in apparent references to repeated clashes with the Philippines in the South China Sea and tension with Australia over surveillance flights.
The remarks came after President Donald Trump said on Thursday that Taiwan did not figure in his meeting with President Xi Jinping in the South Korean city of Busan.
China has also been steadily boosting air, naval and coast guard deployments around democratically-governed Taiwan, which it claims as its own.
It considers Taiwan President Lai Ching-te a “separatist.” Lai rejects Beijing’s sovereignty claims, saying only the island’s people can decide their future.
The Pentagon has been pushing for improved communications with China over its military modernization and regional posture, including greater transparency over its nuclear weapons build-up and more theater-level discussions with military commanders.
In a summary of last month’s video call, Hegseth said he told Dong the US did not seek conflict with China nor was it “pursuing regime change or strangulation” of China.
Shortly before meeting Xi, Trump said he had ordered the US military to resume nuclear testing should Russia and China re-start their own tests.
Trump has described China as a “distant third” behind Russia as a nuclear power but said it would be equal within five years.


This orange flower cloaks Mexico during Day of the Dead. Climate change is putting it at risk

This orange flower cloaks Mexico during Day of the Dead. Climate change is putting it at risk
Updated 45 min 45 sec ago

This orange flower cloaks Mexico during Day of the Dead. Climate change is putting it at risk

This orange flower cloaks Mexico during Day of the Dead. Climate change is putting it at risk
  • Cempasuchil growers say they’ve been left reeling by torrential rains, stretching drought and other impacts from climate change caused by the burning of fuels like gas, oil and coal that have grown increasingly common

MEXICO CITY: Lucia Ortiz trudges through endless fields of cempasuchil flowers, the luminescent orange petals of which will soon cloak everything from city streets to cemeteries across Mexico.
Here, in the winding canals and farms on the fringes of Mexico City, the flower also known as the Mexican marigold has been farmed for generations, and takes the spotlight every year in the country’s Day of the Dead celebrations.
But as 50-year-old Ortiz and other farmers busily bundle clusters of the plant to sell in markets around the capital, they quietly wonder what will be left of their livelihood down the line.
That’s because cempasuchil growers say they’ve been left reeling by torrential rains, stretching drought and other impacts from climate change — caused by the burning of fuels like gas, oil and coal — that have grown increasingly common.
Farmers, who depend on the ebbs and flows of the weather to cultivate their crops, are on the front line on the climate crisis. This year alone, cempasuchil producers said they lost up to half their flower crop from heavy rains and flooding.
“This year, we lost a lot. We struggled to even grow the cempasuchil. There were moments in which we didn’t have the money to buy fertilizer we needed,” Ortiz said. “With the cempasuchil plants, we’ve sometimes been left with nothing.”
‘Flower of the dead’
The orange flower has become a symbol of the country’s celebrations that take place every Nov. 1 and 2. Also known as the “flower of the dead”, the cempasuchil is believed to be a point of connection between the worlds of the dead and the living, with bright petals that light the path of dead souls to the altars set out by their family.
The flowers are also a crucial economic engine across Mexico, which commerce groups predict will rake in nearly 2.7 million dollars for farmers in 2025.
Ortiz and her family began growing the flower 30 years ago in their small plot of land in Xochimilco, a rural borough in the south of Mexico City where residents have continued to carry on ancient farming techniques using canals that wind through farmlands like a maze.
Every year, locals begin to plant the marigold seeds in July, and grow the plants as the rainy season winds down. But they say that they’ve been dealt a heavy blow for consecutive years as heavy rains, drought, floods and other climate shifts have made it increasingly difficult to keep their crops alive.
This year, torrential rains stretching on for months wiped out more than 37,000 acres of crops across the country, according to government figures. In a visit to cempasuchil fields earlier this month in Xochimilco, Mexico City Mayor Clara Brugada said that as many of 2 million marigold plants were put at risk. Despite that, she said that production this year simultaneously broke a record of 6 million plants as farmers ramp up to meet increasing demand even as growing the flower has become more precarious.
Ortiz said the excess of rain has brought on pests, diseases and rotted the roots of her plants. She estimates she lost at least 30 percent of her crop, while others say they’ve lost closer to 50 percent.
The family has been forced to drop money on insecticides, fertilizer and more to save their crops. As they have, razor thin profit margins have turned into losses, and they’ve had to cut back on basics like beef and sweets to make ends meet.
“If I were to take a hard look at all our losses, I’d be incredibly disillusioned and even not want to grow them anymore,” she said. “We’re just trying to push forward and make sure this keeps going on.”
Adapting to climate change
Just down the road from Ortiz’s farm, government scientists are searching for long-term solutions beyond the short-term economic relief provided by the local government. In a small seed bank known as Toxinachcal, men in white suits meticulously pick through sprouts in a lab dish.
The scientists have been at work for a year and a half saving up thousands of seed variants of native plant species, including 20 variants of cempasuchil, in jars lining giant freezers in the hopes that the storage facility will be a key tool in fighting the most adverse effects of climate change.
Biologist Clara Soto Cortés, head of the seed bank, said part of the reason that the crop has been devastated is because farmers in recent years have elected to use a hybrid marigold seed variant from the United States.
The seed produces a shorter, more uniform-looking plant that is easier to sell en-masse and in places like supermarkets.
But that means farmers have turned away from sturdier, native breeds, which have longer stocks and widely vary in color, size and texture. The genetic diversity of these Mexican breeds makes them more resilient to drastic climate shifts like the ones seen this year, Soto said.
“These native seeds have adapted to different geographies, in high altitudes and low, in places where there’s a lot of rain or there’s none at all, or where they need to be resistant to insects,” she said.
“The (hybrid) seeds have been bred for another purpose. It doesn’t have the genetic diversity needed to take on climate change.”
If more climate events, like the floods that roiled producers wipe out an entire crop, Soto said the bank will make seeds available to local producers to recover their crops – this time with a more resilient variant that their ancestors have been farming for centuries.
Carrying on an ancient tradition
Meanwhile, growers are scrambling to bounce back in the short term, saying the losses also represent a threat to the farming tradition their families have struggled to maintain on the edge of the dense city of 23 million people.
Carlos Jiménez, 61, has long worked the fields of Xochimilco, but began to grow the shorter marigold plants eight years ago when he noticed the hybrid was more marketable. As he’s lost more crops and gotten lower prices for the plants because of the mildew gathering at their roots, he said he’s begun considering ways to adapt, like building greenhouses.
“The plants get sick, they rot, and our business is snuffed out,” Jiménez said. “And with it goes our tradition because it’s our economy.”
Producers like Ortiz have considered the same. But their losses mean they have no money to build added infrastructure. Her family and other farmers have called on local authorities for help, but say they’ve received just pennies on the dollar of what they need to bounce back. Though the local government has said it continues to work to help offset the blow felt by farmers.
She said she’s begun to look at other crops she might be able to farm that are more resilient than the crinkled orange flowers.
Others like Jiménez said that while the roots of plants may rot around him, for now he’s holding strong.
“This plant has a deeper meaning to our lost loved ones,” he said. “These are traditions we carry down from our ancestors. They can’t just disappear.”


Nearly 50 dead after Hurricane Melissa thrashes Caribbean

Nearly 50 dead after Hurricane Melissa thrashes Caribbean
Updated 31 October 2025

Nearly 50 dead after Hurricane Melissa thrashes Caribbean

Nearly 50 dead after Hurricane Melissa thrashes Caribbean
  • The death toll from Hurricane Melissa rose Thursday to nearly 50 people, officials said, after the ferocious storm devastated Caribbean islands and was bearing down on Bermuda

SANTIAGO DE CUBA: The death toll from Hurricane Melissa rose Thursday to nearly 50 people, officials said, after the ferocious storm devastated Caribbean islands and was bearing down on Bermuda.
Flooding was expected to subside in the Bahamas although high water could persist in Cuba, Jamaica, Haiti and neighboring Dominican Republic, the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) said.
The storm, one of the most powerful ever recorded, was made four times more likely because of human-caused climate change, according to a study by Imperial College London.
Tropical storm conditions were occurring on Bermuda late Thursday and the island was under a hurricane warning, with maximum sustained winds of 100 miles (155 kilometers) per hour, the NHC said.
The government urged residents to take precautionary measures against the still-powerful storm.
Melissa smashed into both Jamaica and Cuba with enormous force, and residents were assessing their losses and the long road to recovery.
“The confirmed death toll from Hurricane Melissa is now at 19,” including nine in Westmoreland and eight in St. Elizabeth, both parishes in the Caribbean island’s hard-hit west, Information Minister Dana Morris Dixon told local news outlets including the Jamaica Gleaner.
Communications and transportation access remains largely down in Jamaica and Cuba, and comprehensive assessment of the damage could take days.
In impoverished Haiti, the country’s civil defense agency said Thursday that the death toll had risen to 30, with 20 people injured and another 20 missing.
It said more than 1,000 homes have been flooded, with some 16,000 people in shelters.
In the east of the communist island of Cuba, battling its worst economic crisis in decades, people struggled through inundated streets lined with flooded and collapsed homes.
The storm smashed windows, downed power cables and mobile communications, and tore off roofs and tree branches.
Melissa “killed us, because it left us destroyed,” Felicia Correa, who lives in the La Trampa community near El Cobre, told AFP.
“We were already going through tremendous hardship. Now, of course, we are much worse off.”
Cuban authorities said about 735,000 people had been evacuated — mainly in the provinces of Santiago de Cuba, Holguin and Guantanamo.
- ‘Disaster area’ -
The United States meanwhile has mobilized disaster assistance response teams and urban search and rescue personnel, and the teams were currently on the ground in the Dominican Republic, Jamaica and the Bahamas, according to a State Department official.
Teams were en route to Haiti too.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio also included ideological foe Havana, saying the United States is “prepared to offer immediate humanitarian aid to the people of Cuba affected by the Hurricane.”
The UK government announced £2.5 million (about $3.3 million) in emergency funding for the region, and also said it was chartering “limited” flights to help British nationals leave.
In Jamaica, UN resident coordinator Dennis Zulu told reporters Melissa had brought “tremendous, unprecedented devastation of infrastructure, of property, roads, network connectivity.”
Authorities there have said confirming reports of deaths was difficult as access to the hardest-hit areas was limited, and some people were still unable to reach family and loved ones.
- ‘Everything is gone’ -
Hurricane Melissa tied the 1935 record for the most intense storm ever to make landfall when it slammed Jamaica on Tuesday, according to the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
In Seaford Town, farmer and businessman Christopher Hacker saw his restaurant and nearby banana plantations flattened.
“Everything is gone,” he told AFP.
Such mega-storms “are a brutal reminder of the urgent need to step up climate action on all fronts,” said UN Climate Change Executive Secretary Simon Stiell.