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Future of Pakistan-Afghanistan ceasefire hinges on Kabul’s ability to rein in TTP — analysts

Future of Pakistan-Afghanistan ceasefire hinges on Kabul’s ability to rein in TTP — analysts
A Taliban security personnel stands near a damaged house in the Spin Boldak district of Kandahar province on October 16, 2025, a day after the cross-border clashes between Afghanistan and Pakistan. (AFP)
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Updated 25 min 34 sec ago

Future of Pakistan-Afghanistan ceasefire hinges on Kabul’s ability to rein in TTP — analysts

Future of Pakistan-Afghanistan ceasefire hinges on Kabul’s ability to rein in TTP — analysts
  • Clashes erupted between the neighbors on Oct. 11 after Pakistan conducted airstrikes on Kabul following the killing of a dozen soldiers
  • Pakistan has long accused Afghanistan of harboring groups such as TTP and separatist Baloch Liberation Army, Kabul denies the allegation

ISLAMABAD: Foreign affairs and security analysts on Sunday said the durability of a ceasefire reached between Pakistan and Afghanistan depends on the Taliban’s ability to rein in the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), warning that any failure could force Islamabad to act against the militant group and further harm bilateral ties.

Pakistan and Afghanistan reached a ceasefire agreement in Doha on Saturday night after days of fierce clashes ad airstrikes between the two sides, which killed dozens of people on both sides and pushed already frayed relations between the neighbors to a new low.

Pakistan has long accused Afghanistan of harboring militant groups such as the TTP and the separatist Baloch Liberation Army (BLA), which carry out attacks against its security forces and civilians. Kabul denies the allegations, but the issue has remained a major sticking point between the two countries.

Border clashes erupted between the neighbors on Oct. 11 after Pakistan conducted airstrikes on Kabul following the killing of a dozen Pakistani soldiers in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province that borders Afghanistan. The skirmishes and strikes continued intermittently before the two sides reached a ceasefire in Doha.

“It really depends on the Taliban as the ball is now in their court after they gave an understanding and undertaking in the presence of Turkish and Qatari officials,” Brig. (retired) Masud Ahmad Khan, a security analyst, told Arab News.

“It is the Taliban’s responsibility, but I have doubts since they do not have full control and there is a strong possibility that the TTP may reject their demands or proposals.”

Relations between Islamabad and Kabul have sharply deteriorated over a surge in militancy in Pakistan’s western regions. The two countries share a 2,611-kilometer (1,622-mile) long, porous known as the Durand Line, which Afghanistan has never recognized.

The TTP, which has had a close relationship with the Afghan Taliban, has been behind some of the deadliest attacks in Pakistan since late 2000s. The group has stepped up its attacks against Pakistani security forces and law enforcement agencies since the Taliban’s return to power in Afghanistan.

Khan believed that Pakistan will not further tolerate cross-border attacks originating from Afghanistan, which have completely suspended trade between the two countries.

“The rules of engagement are clear,” he said. “Pakistan will strike there, if the attacks continued.”

The two sides agreed that the series of “terrorist activities from Afghanistan on Pakistani soil” will cease immediately, according to Pakistani Defense Minister Khawaja Asif who was part of the peace talks in Doha. Both countries agreed to respect each other’s territory.

Former Pakistani foreign secretary Aizaz Ahmed Chaudhry called the ceasefire a welcome development but expressed doubts about its sustainability, citing the Afghan Taliban’s “past record of not honoring such commitments.”

“Their past record is such that they have often violated the agreements, but I hope that this time they will honor this agreement because peace will serve both countries,” he said, adding that India has used Afghanistan’s soil for creating trouble in Pakistan and there is “documentary evidence” of it.

Islamabad has long accused Kabul of allowing the use of its soil and India of backing militant groups for attacks inside Pakistan. Kabul and New Delhi have consistently denied these allegations.

Asif Durrani, another former Pakistani diplomat, said Pakistan “cannot lower its guard” and has to respond if attacks continued.

“Afghanistan is a sovereign state and can have relations with any country, but Pakistan would be justified in expecting Afghanistan not to allow its soil to be used by India against Pakistan,” he told Arab News, adding that Islamabad has faced a “two-front situation” for the past two decades and has the capacity to tackle it if forced upon.

Dr. Qamar Cheema, executive director of the Sanober Institute think tank that focuses on South Asia affairs, said the key issue is whether the Afghan Taliban can control the TTP.

“Their [Afghan Taliban] failure to do so will seriously question the regime’s legitimacy, control and sovereignty in its own territory,” he said.

Cheema noted that Afghanistan is a landlocked country and depends upon Pakistan for the import and export of goods.

“It ultimately depends on whether the Afghan government chooses cooperation with Pakistan or allows non-state actors to hold its people and government hostage,” he added.


Pakistan environmental agency launches plan to curb vehicular emissions, smog in capital

Pakistan environmental agency launches plan to curb vehicular emissions, smog in capital
Updated 46 sec ago

Pakistan environmental agency launches plan to curb vehicular emissions, smog in capital

Pakistan environmental agency launches plan to curb vehicular emissions, smog in capital
  • The new framework combines strict enforcement with long-term transition to cleaner fuels and electric vehicles
  • Pakistani urban centers routinely rank among most polluted cities, with vehicular emissions as one of main reasons

ISLAMABAD: The Pakistan Environmental Protection Agency (Pak-EPA) has rolled out a comprehensive Vehicular Emission Control Action Plan (VECAP) for the Islamabad Capital Territory (ICT), the climate change ministry announced on Sunday, marking a major policy initiative to combat air pollution and smog in the capital city.

The plan, unveiled by the climate ministry in coordination with the capital administration, Islamabad Transport Authority and Traffic Police, outlines both short- and long-term measures to regulate exhaust emissions, modernize urban transport and improve air quality in the capital.

After the heat-trapping industrial emissions, the rapidly increasing vehicular emissions have emerged as one of the leading sources of choking air pollution in Islamabad, according to Saleem Shaikh, a climate change ministry spokesman.

These emissions release high levels of carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides, hydrocarbons and fine particulate matter (PM2.5), which contribute significantly to respiratory and cardiovascular illnesses.

“This ambitious action plan provides a clear and viable roadmap to cleaner, healthier air for Islamabad’s citizens,” Shaikh said in a statement. “It moves beyond temporary measures and builds a structured, long-term framework that combines enforcement with innovation and public engagement through awareness and advocacy.”

The short-term phase (0–18 months) focuses on strong enforcement and community awareness. Under this phase, Pak-EPA and the Islamabad Traffic Police will conduct regular and surprise roadside inspections to ensure compliance with National Environmental Quality Standards (NEQS).

The plan mandates 100 percent NEQS compliance for all government transport fleets within the specified timeframe and introduces third-party emission testing for private and commercial vehicles through certified laboratories. Vehicle owners will be required to obtain mandatory emission compliance certificates, which will be linked with registration and transfer processes.

Pakistan’s main urban centers routinely rank among the most polluted cities in the world, with vehicular emissions remaining one of the top contributors to air pollution. This severe air pollution also undermines economic productivity and diminishes the quality of life for millions of residents.

Shaikh said city-wide public awareness campaigns would be launched through television, radio and digital media to promote regular vehicle maintenance and discourage the use of smoke-emitting vehicles at all levels. Officials have recently fined 215 vehicles and impounded 32 others for violating emission limits, he added.

Special focus would now be placed on diesel-run buses, trucks and water tankers, while all petrol vehicles would be checked for catalytic converters, according to the climate change ministry. Burning of trash and solid waste would also be strictly prohibited and those found involved will be fined under the Pakistan Environmental Protection Act provisions.

“Above all, public participation is key,” Shaikh said. “Cleaner air cannot be achieved by enforcement alone. Citizens, transporters and institutions must all contribute by maintaining vehicles, avoiding open burning, and supporting the shift toward low-emission mobility.”

Sharing details of the long-term phase (18–60 months) of the EVPP, Shaikh said they would concentrate on a structural shift toward cleaner fuels and technologies in this stage.

“Under this long-term phase to overcome air pollution challenges in the capital, a Comprehensive Electric Vehicle Promotion Programme (EVPP) will be launched to establish EV charging stations across Islamabad, introduce a 10 percent EV quota in government fleets, and offer incentives such as tax exemptions and dedicated EV lanes,” the climate change ministry official said.

“The ministry’s overarching goal is to make Islamabad a model city for clean and climate-smart transport. This is part of Pakistan’s broader commitment to achieving sustainable urban air quality and reducing greenhouse gas emissions.”

Pakistan ranks among nations most vulnerable to climate change and has seen erratic changes in its weather patterns, which have led to frequent heat waves, untimely rains, storms, cyclones, floods and droughts in recent years. This year, monsoon floods killed 1,037 people and caused initial losses worth $1.31 billion.

Experts have warned that without urgent adaptation and mitigation measures, the human and economic toll of climate change will only deepen in the years ahead.

Discussing implementation of the new framework, Shaikh said it would be executed through multi-agency coordination, involving joint efforts of Pak-EPA, ICT Administration, Excise and Taxation Department, Capital Development Authority (CDA), Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA), and Islamabad Traffic Police.

This collaborative approach combines policy reform, enforcement and technology adoption to deliver lasting environmental benefits, according to the official.

“The success of this plan will depend on sustained institutional support, inter-agency cooperation and active public participation,” he said. “Cleaner air for Islamabad is achievable only when every stakeholder, from policymakers to commuters, plays their role responsibly for the sake of their own and environmental health but also for the health of future generation and city’s environmental sustainability.”


Growing India-Taliban ties anger neighboring Pakistan

Growing India-Taliban ties anger neighboring Pakistan
Updated 46 min 24 sec ago

Growing India-Taliban ties anger neighboring Pakistan

Growing India-Taliban ties anger neighboring Pakistan
  • Pakistan and Afghanistan agreed to ceasefire in Doha on Oct. 19 after deadly border clashes since last week
  • Afghanistan and Pakistan have had frosty relations since withdrawal of US-led troops, return of Taliban government

KABUL: As fighting between Pakistan and Afghanistan escalated into rare, bloody combat this month, Islamabad pointed fingers at another adversary, accusing India of fueling the conflict.

Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said that New Delhi had “incited” the Afghan Taliban, while his Defense Minister, Khawaja Muhammad Asif, described Kabul as acting like a “proxy of India.”

Existential archrivals, Pakistan and India have fought repeated wars since partition cleaved the subcontinent at the end of British rule in 1947.

They have also long swapped claims of stoking militancy in each other’s territory as part of alleged destabilization campaigns.

But in recent months, Islamabad has warily watched India cosy up to Taliban-governed Afghanistan, even as its own relations with Kabul sharply deteriorated.

The diplomatic reconciliation culminated in the Taliban foreign minister’s arrival in New Delhi on October 9, the first visit by a top Taliban leader since the hard-liners returned to power in 2021.

As India rolled out the red carpet for UN-sanctioned minister Amir Khan Muttaqi, explosions rocked Kabul as well as a market near the Pakistan border.

Wahid Faqiri, an Afghan expert in international relations, said rapprochement between India and the Taliban had compelled Pakistan to react.

By inviting the Taliban foreign minister for a week of talks, New Delhi aimed to “aggravate the ongoing tension between Pakistan and Afghanistan,” he said.

While the October 9 explosions officially went unclaimed, the Taliban government accused Islamabad of an “unprecedented” incursion, and retaliated with its own offensive.

The exchanges set in motion more than a week of deadly artillery barrages and drone strikes — the worst violence between the South Asian neighbors in years.

After an initial truce collapsed, a second ceasefire was inked on October 19.

’BLAMING ITS NEIGHBORS’

One-time allies Afghanistan and Pakistan have had frosty relations since the withdrawal of US-led troops and return of the Taliban government.

Initially, Islamabad struck an optimistic tone, with then-intelligence chief Lt. General Faiz Hameed giving public assurances that “everything will be fine.”

But Islamabad has since continuously accused the Taliban authorities of providing a safe haven to militant groups as deadly terror attacks in Pakistan surge.

The Pakistani Taliban (TTP) and its affiliates are behind much of the violence — largely directed at security forces.

In October alone, over 100 security personnel and police officers were killed in attacks carried out by assailants from Afghanistan, a Pakistani security source told AFP.

For two years now, the rising violence in Pakistan has also helped fuel a mass deportation campaign, with millions of Afghan migrants and asylum seekers blamed for driving up crime and pushed back across the border.

Former Pakistani diplomat Maleeha Lodhi said the Taliban foreign minister’s trip to New Delhi may have been an “irritant, but wasn’t the motivation for the Pakistani reprisals.”

“The principal driver for Pakistan’s ire and frustration with the Taliban authorities is their refusal to rein in TTP,” she said.

Pakistan’s military has also accused New Delhi of supporting the TTP.

India’s foreign ministry denies the charge, and instead accuses Pakistan of trying to evade responsibility for its domestic turmoil and security problems.

“It is an old practice of Pakistan to blame its neighbors for its own internal failures,” it said.

’Sٴճ’

The bonhomie between New Delhi and Kabul was initially “difficult to justify” in India due to the dominant public perception of Islam as contrary to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s popular Hindu nationalism, said Praveen Donthi, an analyst at International Crisis Group (ICG).

The absence of women journalists at an initial press conference during Muttaqi’s visit also sparked strong criticism, but public opinion shifted, Donthi said, when the Taliban minister expressed “solidarity” with India over an April 22 terrorist attack in Pahalgam.

That attack in the flashpoint Kashmir region precipitated a four-day war between the nuclear-armed foes, with New Delhi accusing Islamabad of backing the “terrorists.”

The Afghan minister’s solidarity may have bought him some fans in India, but it aggravated Islamabad, with the joint statement describing the disputed region as “Jammu and Kashmir, India” — suggesting Indian sovereignty.

At the end of the Afghanistan-India exchange, New Delhi announced it would upgrade its diplomatic mission in Kabul to a fully fledged embassy.

That represented another stepping stone toward the Taliban government’s ultimate goal of formal international recognition, a move only Moscow has made and that analysts say remains far off for India.

For now, the rekindling is a significant win for the Taliban authorities, and a pointed shift in the complex India-Pakistan-Afghanistan relations. 


Pakistan mull third spinner as they look for South Africa sweep

Pakistan mull third spinner as they look for South Africa sweep
Updated 19 October 2025

Pakistan mull third spinner as they look for South Africa sweep

Pakistan mull third spinner as they look for South Africa sweep
  • Pakistan beat World Test champions South Africa by 93 runs inside four days last week
  • Leg-spinner Abrar Ahmed or uncapped Asif Afridi can be called up for second Test on Monday

RAWALPINDI: Pakistan could include a third spinner against South Africa as the hosts try to sweep the series 2-0 in the second Test in Rawalpindi, head coach Azhar Mahmood said Sunday.

Pakistan beat World Test champions South Africa by 93 runs inside four days last week with spinners taking 34 of the 40 wickets on a turning Qaddafi Stadium pitch.

Mahmood said either leg-spinner Abrar Ahmed or uncapped 38-year-old left-armer Asif Afridi could be called up for the second and final Test beginning on Monday on a dry Rawalpindi pitch.

Left-armer Noman Ali took 10 wickets in the first Test while his spin partner Sajid Khan finished with six.

With the pitch in Rawalpindi likely to turn more as the match goes on, Mahmood stressed that first innings runs will be crucial, whether batting first or second.

“The pitch looks dry ... so you need to score big and not depend on the toss for a favorable result,” said Mahmood.

South Africa will be bolstered by the return of experienced left-arm spinner Keshav Maharaj, who missed the first Test with a groin strain.

“Keshav is fit and obviously it is great to have him back,” said South Africa stand-in captain Aiden Markram.

“He brings in great experience and a really good skill set.”

Maharaj is likely to partner Senuran Muthusamy, who excelled with 11 wickets in the first Test.

“It is really important for us to try to level the series,” said Markram, who is captain because Temba Bavuma is injured.

“We are expecting more spin in this Test but it is an opportunity for us.”

Tony de Zorzi made a century in the first Test and Markram said the South Africans had “tapped into him” to understand “what worked against the Pakistan spinners.”

“It is good to have someone with that confidence,” he added.


Pakistan contingent arrives in Azerbaijan for ‘Indus Shield Alpha’ aerial combat exercise

Pakistan contingent arrives in Azerbaijan for ‘Indus Shield Alpha’ aerial combat exercise
Updated 19 October 2025

Pakistan contingent arrives in Azerbaijan for ‘Indus Shield Alpha’ aerial combat exercise

Pakistan contingent arrives in Azerbaijan for ‘Indus Shield Alpha’ aerial combat exercise
  • Pakistan says exercise aims to enhance mutual understanding, tactical coordination, interoperability between both air forces 
  • Pakistan, Azerbaijan have sought closer defense ties since Baku openly supported Islamabad during its April skirmishes with India

ISLAMABAD: A Pakistan Air Force (PAF) contingent has arrived in Azerbaijan to participate in a bilateral aerial combat exercise named “Indus Shield Alpha,” the military’s media wing said on Sunday, with the exercise set to focus on modern aerial warfare tactics. 

The Pakistan contingent comprises JF-17 Thunder Block-III fighter jets accompanied by skilled air and ground crew, the Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR), the Pakistani military’s media wing, said in a statement. 

The PAF fighters arrived via a non-stop flight from their home base in Pakistan to Azerbaijan, the ISPR said, executing a “flawless in-flight air-to-air refueling operation.” The air-refueling was carried out with the PAF’s IL-79 aerial tanker, the military said, reaffirming the fighter jets’ long-range capability. 

“Exercise Indus Shield Alpha aims to enhance mutual understanding, tactical coordination and interoperability between the two brotherly Air Forces,” the ISPR said. 

“The exercise will focus on modern aerial warfare tactics, joint mission planning and execution in an environment shaped by rapid technological advancements and evolving airpower dynamics.”

The military’s media wing said Indus Shield Alpha will also serve as a “vital platform” to exchange operational insights and strengthen collaborative responses to emerging aerial defense challenges.

The PAF’s participation in the exercise reaffirms Pakistan’s enduring commitment to regional stability and global military cooperation, the ISPR said.

“It also demonstrates PAF’s unwavering resolve to continuously evolve and adapt to the demands of contemporary warfare, while maintaining its tradition of excellence in every domain of air operations,” the statement concluded. 

Pakistan has historically enjoyed close defense and diplomatic ties with Azerbaijan. The two countries have grown closer and vowed to improve defense ties since Baku publicly proclaimed support for Pakistan during its four-day military confrontation with India in April. The confrontation between the nuclear-armed neighbors resulted in the killing of over 70 people in both countries. 

The PAF said it shot down six Indian fighter jets during the skirmishes. While Indian officials acknowledged an unspecified number of fighter jets were shot down, they rejected Pakistan’s claims that six were brought down by the PAF. 


Pakistan calls for operationalizing Loss and Damage Fund at IMF-World Bank meetings

Pakistan calls for operationalizing Loss and Damage Fund at IMF-World Bank meetings
Updated 19 October 2025

Pakistan calls for operationalizing Loss and Damage Fund at IMF-World Bank meetings

Pakistan calls for operationalizing Loss and Damage Fund at IMF-World Bank meetings
  • Pakistan’s devastating monsoon season triggered massive flooding, killed over 1,000 people since late June 
  • The fund, set up in 2022 after COP27 summit, aims to help developing countries suffering climate change impacts

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb this week stressed the need to operationalize the Loss and Damage Fund at the sidelines of the International Monetary Fund (IMF)-World Bank Annual Meetings in Washington, as Islamabad grapples with the costs of the recent devastating floods. 

Ranked among the world’s most climate-vulnerable countries, Pakistan witnessed yet another devastating monsoon that led to massive flooding, killing more than 1,000 people and 22,000 livestock while washing away crops over 2.2 million acres since late June, as per the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA).

The Fund for Responding to Loss and Damage (FRLD), established at the COP27 climate summit in Egypt in 2022 before being officially operationalized by 198 countries, aims to help developing and least developed countries (LDCs) cope with both economic and non-economic impacts of climate change, such as extreme weather events and slow-onset crises like sea-level rise and droughts.

The Pakistani finance minister left for Washington last week to attend the annual IMF-World Bank meetings, where he has met senior officials of international financial institutions to highlight Pakistan’s economic reforms and aspirations. On Saturday, he spoke at the 15th V20 Ministerial Dialogue, which comprises the finance ministers of countries most vulnerable to climate change effects, to highlight damages from floods in Pakistan. 

“Senator Aurangzeb also underscored the need to operationalize the Loss and Damage Fund and called for fast-tracking decision-making processes at the Green Climate Fund (GCF) to ensure timely and effective climate action for vulnerable countries,” the finance ministry said on Saturday. 

Aurangzeb highlighted the increasing frequency and intensity of floods in Pakistan during his speech, emphasizing that Islamabad continues to fund rescue and relief operations from its own resources, the finance ministry said.

While the fund was set up in 2022, developing and developed countries have been at odds over questions on which entity should oversee the fund, who should pay and which countries would be eligible to receive funding.

Pakistan, which is counted among the most vulnerable countries to climate change effects worldwide, has frequently called for faster payouts from the fund. 

Pakistan has experienced increasingly erratic weather patterns in recent years, including heatwaves, droughts, cyclones and glacial melting.

In 2022, record monsoon rains triggered floods that killed over 1,700 people, affecting 30 million more and causing economic losses exceeding $30 billion.