LIVERPOOL, England: Prime Minister Keir Starmer will say Tuesday that Britain faces a stark choice between decency and division, in an attempt to reset his government and stem the rising popularity of the hard-right party Reform UK.
Starmer will tell his center-left Labour Party that Britain faces âa fight for the soul of our countryâ as he tries to overcome dire approval ratings, a sluggish economy and the challenge posed by divisive Reform leader Nigel Farage.
âBritain stands at a fork in the road. We can choose decency or we can choose division. Renewal or decline,â Starmer will say, according to his office.
Since Labour won a landslide election victory in July 2024, its popularity has plummeted. The party promised economic growth, but has struggled to deliver it. Inflation remains stubbornly high and the economic outlook subdued, frustrating efforts to repair tattered public services and ease the cost of living.
Treasury chief Rachel Reeves said Monday that wars in Ukraine and the Middle East and US President Donald Trumpâs tariffs have caused âharsh global headwinds,â and hard economic choices loom when she sets out her budget in November.
Against that gloomy backdrop, Labourâs annual conference in Liverpool â motto: âRenew Britainâ â has been dominated by conversations about how to fight Reform. Farageâs party has topped opinion polls for months, ahead of both Labour and the main opposition Conservatives, despite holding just five of the 650 seats in the House of Commons.
Farageâs anti-establishment, anti-immigration message, with its echoes of Trumpâs MAGA movement, has homed in on the issue of thousands of migrants in small boats arriving in Britain across the English Channel. More than 30,000 people have made the dangerous crossing from France so far this year despite efforts by authorities in Britain, France and other countries to crack down on people-smuggling gangs.
Farage has vowed to deport everyone arriving by small boat and go even farther, stripping the right to remain in the UK from many legal residents.
Starmer said on the weekend that such a policy would be âracistâ and âimmoral,â and he has accused Farage of nurturing a âpolitics of grievanceâ that turns people against one another. He has expressed alarm that a march organized by anti-immigration campaigner and convicted fraudster Tommy Robinson attracted more than 100,000 people in London this month.
Starmer will warn in his speech that the path to renewal is âlong, itâs difficult, it requires decisions that are not cost-free or easy.
âIt is a test,â he plans to say. âA fight for the soul of our country, every bit as big as rebuilding Britain after the war, and we must all rise to this challenge.â
The government doesnât have to call an election until 2029, but already some Labour members are talking about replacing Starmer â especially if the party takes a hammering in local and regional elections in May.
A potential rival is Andy Burnham, the popular Labour mayor of Manchester, who has warned that the party is in âperilâ and needs to change direction.
London Mayor Sadiq Khan, a Starmer ally, said the party didnât need a new leader, but had to âbe better at telling the story of what we are trying to do.â
âI hope in Keirâs speech ⊠he will tell a story about the country we are and the country we want to see,â Khan said.
Labourâs problems are not unique. Established parties around the globe are being challenged by anti-establishment populists. John Curtice, professor of politics at the University of Strathclyde, said voters have become âdeeply pessimistic.â
Curtice said Starmer, who has won praise for his sober handling of the Ukraine war and Trumpâs White House, is âvery good with bad newsâ but ânot very good at optimism.â
âIf you are going turn the mood of the country around, you need to do more than change the reality. You also have to influence perception,â Curtice said. âAnd clearly the question being raised about the current Labour leadership is: Does it have the ability to change the mood?â