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Microsoft says Azure cloud service disrupted by fiber cuts in Red Sea

Microsoft Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Satya Nadella speaks speaks about Microsoft Azure during the Microsoft Build opening keynote at the Seattle Convention Center Summit Building in Seattle, Washington on May 21, 2024. (AFP)
Microsoft Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Satya Nadella speaks speaks about Microsoft Azure during the Microsoft Build opening keynote at the Seattle Convention Center Summit Building in Seattle, Washington on May 21, 2024. (AFP)
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Updated 07 September 2025

Microsoft says Azure cloud service disrupted by fiber cuts in Red Sea

Microsoft says Azure cloud service disrupted by fiber cuts in Red Sea
  • As a result of the disruption, Azure, the world’s second largest cloud provider after Amazon’s AWS, has rerouted traffic through alternate network paths and network traffic is not interrupted

WASHINGTON: Microsoft said on Saturday that its Microsoft Azure users may experience increased latency due to multiple undersea fiber cuts in the Red Sea.
In an updated status message for its Azure system, the company said its users may experience service disruptions on traffic routes through the Middle East.
“We do expect higher latency on some traffic that previously traversed through the Middle East. Network traffic that does not traverse through the Middle East is not impacted. We’ll continue to provide daily updates, or sooner if conditions change,” Microsoft said.
As a result of the disruption, Azure, the world’s second largest cloud provider after Amazon’s AWS, has rerouted traffic through alternate network paths and network traffic is not interrupted.


China says it’s on track to land astronauts on the moon by 2030 ahead of space station mission

Updated 1 sec ago

China says it’s on track to land astronauts on the moon by 2030 ahead of space station mission

China says it’s on track to land astronauts on the moon by 2030 ahead of space station mission
JIUQUAN: China said Thursday it’s on track to land astronauts on the moon by 2030 as it introduced the next crew of astronauts who will head to its space station as part of the country’s ambitious plans to be a leader in space exploration.
“Currently, each program of the research and development work of putting a person on the moon is progressing smoothly,” said Zhang Jingbo, spokesman for the China Manned Space Program, citing the Long March 10 rocket, moon landing suits and exploration vehicle, as fruitful efforts of that work. “Our fixed goal of China landing a person on the moon by 2030 is firm.”
China is also preparing to send up its latest rotation of astronauts who make up part of the ongoing mission to complete the Tiangong space station, part of its broader space exploration plans. Each team stays inside the station for six months, conducting research.
The latest crew joining others on the station will be made up of Zhang Lu, Wu Fei and Zhang Hongzhang. They will take off from the Jiuquan launch center Friday at 11:44 p.m. in China. Zhang was previously part of the Shenzhou 15 mission to the station. For Wu and Zhang, this will be their first time in space.
The astronauts will also carry four mice with them on this trip, two male and two female. They will study the effects of weightlessness and confinement on the animals.
China began work on the Tiangong, or “Heavenly Palace,” after the country was excluded from the International Space Station over US national security concerns over the Chinese space program’s direct link to the People’s Liberation Army.

US will share tech to let South Korea build a nuclear-powered submarine, Trump says

US will share tech to let South Korea build a nuclear-powered submarine, Trump says
Updated 14 min 29 sec ago

US will share tech to let South Korea build a nuclear-powered submarine, Trump says

US will share tech to let South Korea build a nuclear-powered submarine, Trump says
  • President Lee Jae Myung clarified to Trump that his country was not seeking nuclear weapons but submarines that run on nuclear fuel

GYEONGJU, South Korea: The United States will share closely held technology to allow South Korea to build a nuclear-powered submarine, President Donald Trump said on social media Thursday after meeting with the country’s president.
President Lee Jae Myung stressed to Trump in their Wednesday meeting that the goal was to modernize the alliance with the US, noting plans to increase military spending to reduce the financial burden on America.
The South Korean leader said there might have been a misunderstanding when they last spoke in August about nuclear-powered submarines, saying that his government was looking for nuclear fuel rather than weapons.
Lee said that South Korea’s current diesel-powered submarines have limits in tracking other countries’ submarine activities. If South Korea was equipped with nuclear-powered submarines, he said, it could help US activities in the region.
Diesel-powered submarines have to surface regularly to recharge their batteries. But nuclear-powered submarines have superior endurance and can stay submerged for a significantly longer period.
Trump said in a separate post that the country would build its nuclear-powered submarine in the Philly Shipyard, which was bought last year by South Korea’s Hanwha Group.
It was unclear what the size or cost of the sub project would be, but South Korea had said as part of talks with Trump that it had committed $150 billion to invest in America’s shipbuilding capacity.
US nuclear submarine technology is widely regarded as some of the most sensitive and highly guarded technology the military possesses. The US has been incredibly protective of that knowledge, and even a recently announced deal with close allies the United Kingdom and Australia to help the latter acquire nuclear submarine technology doesn’t feature the US directly transferring its knowledge.
Trump’s post on social media comes ahead of his meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping, whose country possesses nuclear submarines, and after North Korea in March unveiled for the first time a nuclear-powered submarine under construction. It is a weapons system that can pose a major security threat to South Korea and the US
As Trump visited South Korea, North Korea said Wednesday that it conducted successful cruise missile tests, the latest display of its growing military capabilities.
Pentagon officials didn’t immediately respond to questions about Trump’s announcement on sharing the nuclear sub technology with South Korea.
 


US government allowed and even helped US firms sell tech used for surveillance in China

US government allowed and even helped US firms sell tech used for surveillance in China
Updated 34 min 13 sec ago

US government allowed and even helped US firms sell tech used for surveillance in China

US government allowed and even helped US firms sell tech used for surveillance in China
  • US Congress has turned a blind eye to loopholes that allow China to work around its own rules, such as cloud services and third-party resellers
  • This reluctance to act reflects the tremendous wealth and power of the tech industry, which is more visible than ever under the Trump administration

US lawmakers have tried four times since September last year to close what they called a glaring loophole: China is getting around export bans on the sale of powerful American AI chips by renting them through US cloud services instead.
But the proposals prompted a flurry of activity from more than 100 lobbyists from tech companies and their trade associations trying to weigh in, according to disclosure reports.
The result: All four times, the proposal failed, including just last month.
As leaders Donald Trump and Xi Jinping prepare for a long-heralded meeting Thursday, the sale of US technology to China is among the thorniest issues the US faces, with billions of dollars and the future of tech dominance at stake. But the tough talk about China obscures a deeper story: Even while warning about national security and human rights abuse, the US government across five Republican and Democratic administrations has repeatedly allowed and even actively helped American firms to sell technology to Chinese police, government agencies and surveillance companies, an Associated Press investigation has found.
And time after time, despite bipartisan attempts, Congress has turned a blind eye to loopholes that allow China to work around its own rules, such as cloud services, third-party resellers, and holes in sanctions passed after the Tiananmen massacre. For example, despite US export rules around advanced chips, China bought $20.7 billion worth of chipmaking equipment from US companies in 2024 to bolster its homegrown industry, a report from a congressional committee this month warned.
This reluctance to act reflects the tremendous wealth and power of the tech industry, which is more visible than ever under the Trump administration. And in recent months, the president himself has struck grand deals with Silicon Valley firms that even more closely tie the US economy to tech exports to China, giving taxpayers a direct stake in the profits for the first time.
In August, Trump announced a deal with chipmakers Nvidia and AMD to lift export controls on sales of advanced chips to China in exchange for a 15 percent cut of the revenue, despite concerns from national security experts that such chips will end up in the hands of Chinese military and intelligence services. That same month, Trump announced that the US government had taken a 10 percent stake in Intel worth around $11 billion.
Longtime Chinese activist Zhou Fengsuo said the US government is letting American companies set the agenda and ignoring how they help Beijing surveil and censor its own people. In 1989, Zhou was a student leader during the Tiananmen protests, where hundreds and possibly thousands were shot and killed by the Chinese government. Zhou was arrested and imprisoned.
Now a US citizen, Zhou testified before Congress in 2024, calling on Washington to investigate the involvement of American tech companies in Chinese surveillance. An AP investigation in September found that American companies to a large degree designed and built China’s surveillance state, playing a far greater role in enabling human rights abuses than previously known.
“It’s driven by profit, and that’s why these strategic discussions have been silenced or delayed,” Zhou said. “I’m extremely disappointed. … this is a strategic failure by the United States.”
Hundreds of millions in lobbying
The sale of technology to China is contentious among both Republicans and Democrats, with some arguing for a harder stance.
They are fighting a powerful opponent. An AP analysis of lobbying filings showed US tech and telecom companies, as well as their trade associations, spent hundreds of millions of dollars over the past two decades on lobbyists who listed key bills impacting China-related trade on their quarterly disclosure reports, among other issues.
Tech companies argue that further export restrictions will push China to develop its own domestic supply and strengthen its position in the global race for leadership in artificial intelligence.
“Continuing to ban US computing from commercial markets only benefits foreign competition and undercuts President Trump’s efforts to create jobs, reduce the trade deficit, and grow the economy,” Nvidia said in a statement.
Nvidia has also said that it does not make surveillance systems or software, does not work with police in China and has not designed its H20 AI chip for police surveillance.
Intel, which partnered with a Chinese fingerprinting company as recently as last year, has said the company follows export control policies, and did not address details of its deal with the US government.
“The US government’s investment is a passive ownership, with no board representation, governance or information rights,” Intel said in a statement.
AMD did not respond. The White House and the Commerce and State departments also did not respond to multiple requests for comment.
The AP investigation was based on dozens of open record requests, hundreds of pages of congressional testimony, lobbying disclosures and dozens of interviews with current and former Chinese and American executives, politicians, and former federal officials.
Under the cloud services loophole, Chinese companies barred from accessing cutting-edge chips can use Microsoft Azure or Amazon Web Services overseas instead to train their AI models. Microsoft and AWS also both advertise the capacity to store video surveillance footage on their cloud services for Chinese customers.
For example, SDIC Contech, a state-owned tech company that works with AI, sought access to AWS and Microsoft Azure big data analytics services, procurement bids show. And Shanghai Qi Zhi Institute, a government-backed research institute working on sensitive technologies such as encryption, sought access to $280,000 worth of Azure OpenAI cloud services from Microsoft.
Even sanctioned Chinese companies can use AWS and Microsoft Azure to offer surveillance abilities to customers overseas. For example, despite US sanctions over human rights abuses in Xinjiang in 2019, Dahua and Hikvision, China’s two largest surveillance companies, use AWS to offer networked surveillance abroad, according to marketing material on the company websites. Hikvision markets a video surveillance platform called “HikCentral” to private companies overseas, which can be also deployed on Azure, according to a post on Hikvision’s website this year.
Microsoft denied providing services to Hikvision or partnering with them to provide services to others. OpenAI, which provides its advanced AI models through Microsoft’s Azure cloud platform, said it was subject to Microsoft’s policies and doesn’t support China’s access to its services. AWS did not respond on the record to questions about the cloud services loophole.
Another enduring loophole is in the restrictions passed after the Tiananmen massacre that didn’t include newer policing technologies, such as security cameras, surveillance drives, or facial recognition systems. In 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011 and 2013, lawmakers introduced bills to try and close the loophole. All failed.
The US government under both Republican and Democratic presidents has made other attempts to regulate tech surveillance exports to China. In 2008, the Department of Commerce asked for comment on whether to include “biometric devices” and “integrated security systems” under controlled exports, but ran out of time before the next administration came in. In 2014 and 2015, it tried to tighten controls on surveillance products, but most fell through. In 2024, it sought to restrict exports of face-recognition systems and bar many more military, police, and intelligence end users from receiving US goods, with no success.
Some politicians on both sides of the aisle blame the failures in part on the money and political influence of tech companies.
“I think we’ve been naive or complicit in the extreme,” said New Jersey GOP Rep. Chris Smith. The US, he said, has been “selling and conveying to a malevolent power the ability to destroy us and destroy like-minded Western democracies.”
“What do all those companies all have in common? A big wallet,” said Ron Wyden, a Democratic senator from Oregon. “That is as much as anything is what’s behind the fact we haven’t made as much progress.”
A history of failures to close loopholes
The first round of US prohibitions on Chinese police came after the Tiananmen massacre and applied to “crime control and detection” equipment. They largely stopped US companies from exporting goods to Chinese entities such as restraints, helmets, shields and batons.
But the controls were narrowly confined to largely low-tech goods, leaving out advanced technologies that could be used by police and leading at times to puzzling priorities. US regulators warned sex shops against shipping novelty gold handcuffs to China. At the same time, they broadly permitted Silicon Valley companies to sell routers, servers, software, and more recently, AI-powered surveillance systems to Chinese police.
For example, despite explicit restrictions on fingerprint recognition systems, US companies still were able to sell gear to process, store and compare fingerprints.
In 2006, with bipartisan support, Smith introduced the Global Online Freedom Act to curtail the involvement of American tech companies in Chinese surveillance. Smith drew parallels with IBM’s sale of computing gear to Nazi Germany, which has been well documented by historians. IBM told AP in a follow-up statement that the claim that IBM knowingly collaborated with Nazi Germany was “false and has been rejected by credible historians.”
Associations representing the tech and telecommunications industries and dozens of companies stepped up their lobbying against Smith’s proposal, disclosures show. The companies argued the computers, servers and routers they sold in China were no different from what they sold to other countries. Industry groups and individual companies also submitted hundreds of comments to regulators, hoping to influence China-related export regulations.
Smith’s bill went nowhere.
“Money talks … When they flood certain members on strategic committees with the money, PAC money and the like, how much easier it is to listen to their narrative that somehow they’re part of the reform?” said Smith.
Tech sales to China continued, sometimes with direct government support. Numerous archived webpages show that the US Commercial Service, the export-promoting arm of the Commerce Department, played a crucial role for more than a decade in connecting US vendors to Chinese security agencies and key government officials, including through its marquee Gold Key Matching service.
In 2004, the Commercial Service invited American companies selling security technologies and equipment to show off their products at a Chinese security exposition. Two years later, it advertised opportunities for American firms in the “safety and security” market, followed by another publication later describing market opportunities for foreign security products such as inspection control and guard communication systems. Archived webpages also show that under both the George W. Bush and Obama administrations, the Commercial Service steadily promoted US participation in policing trade shows, even those that showcased “biological identification technologies” or were initiated by the Chinese Communist Party.
Under Bush, the Commerce Department in 2007 hosted a webinar about how to sell to the Chinese security market and promote surveillance tools to China’s public sector. For just $35, the federal agency could offer attendees “market entry-strategies and long-term market penetration plans,” an archived webpage shows.
Jeanette Chu, who then worked at the US Embassy in Beijing and helped give the 2007 webinar, recalled sometimes having concerns.
“I used to ask myself all the time, ‘what is the scary potential of each item?’” said Chu, now a national security and trade expert advising industry.
Despite promises to nail shut Washington’s revolving door, President Barack Obama — like presidents before and after him — gave former industry lobbyists and allies top jobs, including Eric Hirschhorn in the Commerce Department, who represented a trade group that lobbied for tech companies exporting abroad. Hirschhorn wrote that Beijing’s surveillance abilities were nothing compared to the half-million surveillance cameras blanketing London. He was put in charge of the office that administers US export controls.
In an interview, Hirschhorn said export controls alone were an inefficient way to defend human rights.
“You can use a computer to type an order or type a love note,” he told AP. “Are you not going to sell computers to China because one out of every 10,000 of them will be used to store data about a dissident?”
In 2010, the US State Department’s human rights report warned of “police surveillance, harassment and detentions of activists.” Yet US Ambassador Jon Huntsman led a mission to promote American business interests in the far-west region of Xinjiang, where authorities had arrested thousands of ethnic Uyghurs and cut Internet access after deadly unrest the year before. Huntsman did not respond to requests for comment.
That same year, the Commercial Service spotlighted opportunities for US companies to sell equipment directly to China’s central government “to install a city-wide infrastructure of security, surveillance, and alarm systems” on its website.
A 2015 State Department draft plan for “smart city” cooperation obtained by AP proposed that China and the US collaborate on joint research, such as on crime and “urban security,” and include private sector players such IBM. Additional documents AP obtained via a Freedom of Information Act request show the US government also sought active counter-terrorism cooperation with China, which gave tech companies a chance for closer contact with Chinese authorities even as Beijing broadly labelled protest or dissent among Uyghurs as terrorism.
Kevin Wolf, then an assistant secretary in charge of export controls at Commerce, said as news about human rights abuses inside China kept surfacing, he worried about US innovations falling into the wrong hands. Wolf said he began drafting a rule to regulate certain surveillance gear sales in early 2016.
“The problem I was struggling with was, mass surveillance can involve everyday ordinary common items: it’s cameras, it’s software, it’s facial recognition stuff and 99 percent of all of those applications are perfectly benign,” said Wolf, now a compliance attorney for industry. “So if you were to say, ban cameras that can read someone’s face, you blow up international trade.”
Wolf’s colleagues told him the draft rule was too complicated, Wolf said, and it foundered.
In 2018, Congress passed the Export Control Reform Act, giving Commerce authority to make export control rules about advanced technologies. In 2019 and 2020, the Trump administration sanctioned some Chinese officials and surveillance firms over atrocities in Xinjiang. But sales of surveillance equipment continued, albeit at a slower pace — though references to working with the Chinese police would disappear from annual Commerce Department reports for US industry.
In 2021, Joe Biden put out an executive order describing Chinese surveillance tech companies as “unusual and extraordinary threats” that enabled serious human rights abuses. In his final months in office, Biden’s administration drew up sprawling rules for exporting advanced computer chips used to develop AI systems. Commerce also floated an updated version of Wolf’s draft rule to keep facial recognition and other mass surveillance tools from reaching military and intelligence agencies and companies, including in China.
But once again, Washington lobbyists, lawyers and politicians pushed back. “The result would slow business considerably and likely result in the loss of customers that do not present any national security or human rights concerns,” said a Chamber of Commerce filing from late last year.
The proposed rule, in the end, stalled out.
Gulbahar Haitiwaji, an ethnic Uyghur living in France, says little has changed since she testified to Congress in 2023 urging the US government to “stop American companies from continuing to be complicit in surveilling our people.”
Haitiwaji was arrested and detained in internment camps in Xinjiang for more than two years, after policing systems based on US technology led Chinese officers to identify her as a “terrorist.” She was under constant, excruciating surveillance, with cameras watching her even in the toilet. After she was released in 2019, she still found herself living in what she calls “an open-air prison,” with every move monitored, until she finally left Xinjiang later that year.
She said US tech companies show little accountability.
“It’s truly disappointing that the United States, one of the most powerful countries in the world, would sell such technology to China despite knowing the potential for serious consequences,” Haitiwaji said.
 


Exit poll suggests centrists win Dutch vote, beating far right

Exit poll suggests centrists win Dutch vote, beating far right
Updated 30 October 2025

Exit poll suggests centrists win Dutch vote, beating far right

Exit poll suggests centrists win Dutch vote, beating far right
  • The centrist D66 party led by Rob Jetten was projected to win 27 seats out of 150 in parliament, ahead of Wilders and his far-right PVV Freedom Party with 25 seats, according to the Ipsos poll

THE HAGUE: Dutch voters appeared to have rejected far-right leader Geert Wilders in favor of a centrist party, an exit poll suggested Wednesday, after a cliffhanger election closely watched in Europe where extremists are gaining ground.
The centrist D66 party led by Rob Jetten was projected to win 27 seats out of 150 in parliament, ahead of Wilders and his far-right PVV Freedom Party with 25 seats, according to the Ipsos poll.
If confirmed, the result would put Jetten, 38, in pole position to become the country’s youngest and first openly gay prime minister, subject to coalition talks.
D66 supporters exploded with joy at their election party in Leiden, waving Dutch and European flags. “We’ve done it,” said a jubilant Jetten.
“This is a historic election result because we’ve shown not only to the Netherlands but also to the world that it is possible to beat populist and extreme-right movements,” Jetten told reporters.
Exit polls in the Netherlands are generally accurate but the seats could change as actual votes are counted and the margin of error is two seats.
The center-right liberal VVD party was predicted to win 23 seats, with the left-wing Green/Labour bloc expected to gain 20.
With far-right parties topping the polls in Britain, France, and Germany, the Dutch election was seen as a bellwether of the strength of the far right in Europe.
If the exit poll results are confirmed, the PVV lost 12 seats compared to its stunning 2023 election win.
“The Dutch election really mirrors trends across Western Europe,” Sarah de Lange, Professor of Dutch Politics at Leiden University, told AFP before the exit poll.
Even before the vote, Wilders was virtually certain not to be prime minister, as all other parties had ruled out joining a coalition with him.
The 62-year-old firebrand, sometimes known as the “Dutch Trump,” had collapsed the previous government, complaining progress was too slow to achieve “the strictest asylum policy ever.”
“The voter has spoken. We had hoped for a different outcome but we stuck to our guns,” said the anti-Islam, anti-immigration, Wilders on social media.
When the result is finalized, there will be a prolonged period of haggling between the parties to see who wants to work with whom, a process that could take months.
The fragmented Dutch political system means no party can reach the 76 seats needed to govern alone, so consensus and coalition-building are essential.
“It will certainly take time for the Netherlands to reach stability and a new coalition,” De Lange told AFP.
“The parties are ideologically very, very diverse, which will make compromising very challenging.”

- ‘Heart of Europe’ -

Millions of Dutch people cast their votes in a variety of locations including zoos, football stadiums, and windmills.
They had a bewildering range of 27 parties to choose from, meaning each voter had to grapple with a huge A3 sheet of paper listing the candidates.
The main issues were immigration and a housing crisis that especially affects young people in the densely populated country.
Jetten shot up the polls in the final days of the campaign thanks to strong media performances and an optimistic message.
“I want to bring the Netherlands back to the heart of Europe because without European cooperation, we are nowhere,” he told AFP after casting his vote in The Hague.
Frans Timmermans, an experienced former European Commission vice president, threw in the towel after a disappointing result for his left-wing bloc.
“With pain in my heart, I step down as your party leader,” the 64-year-old told supporters.

- ‘Not that aggressive’ -

Violence and disinformation marred the campaign in the European Union’s fifth-largest economy and major global exporter.
Demonstrators against shelters for asylum-seekers clashed with police in several cities, and violence erupted at an anti-immigration protest in The Hague last month.
Until a new government is formed, outgoing Prime Minister Dick Schoof will run the country — reluctantly. “I wouldn’t wish it on you,” he told one MP in parliament.
“If you accept this job, you know that it will end someday,” Schoof told AFP after casting his vote.
Voters appeared to yearn for a return to less polarizing politics.
“I think society should be more positive and less negative,” Bart Paalman, a 53-year-old baker, told AFP, as he cast his vote at the Anne Frank House, converted into a polling station for election day.
“I’m voting for a party who’s not that aggressive.”


Trump and China’s Xi are meeting in South Korea to try to roll back months of trade tensions

Trump and China’s Xi are meeting in South Korea to try to roll back months of trade tensions
Updated 30 October 2025

Trump and China’s Xi are meeting in South Korea to try to roll back months of trade tensions

Trump and China’s Xi are meeting in South Korea to try to roll back months of trade tensions
  • Trump’s aggressive use of tariffs since returning to the White House for a second term combined with China’s retaliatory limits on exports of rare earth elements have given the meeting newfound urgency

BUSAN, South Korea: President Donald Trump is set to meet face-to-face with Chinese leader Xi Jinping on Thursday, a chance for the leaders of the world’s two largest economies to stabilize relations after months of turmoil over trade issues.
Trump’s aggressive use of tariffs since returning to the White House for a second term combined with China’s retaliatory limits on exports of rare earth elements have given the meeting newfound urgency. There is a mutual recognition that neither side wants to risk blowing up the world economy in ways that could jeopardize their own country’s fortunes.
In the days leading up to the meeting, US officials have signaled that Trump does not intend to make good on a recent threat to impose an additional 100 percent import tax on Chinese goods — and China has shown signs it is willing to relax its export controls on rare earths and also buy soybeans from America.
Trump went further aboard Air Force One on his way to South Korea, telling reporters he may reduce tariffs that he placed on China earlier this year related to its role in making fentanyl.
“I expect to be lowering that because I believe that they’re going to help us with the fentanyl situation,” Trump said, later adding, “The relationship with China is very good.”
Shortly before the meeting on Thursday, Trump posted on Truth Social that the meeting would be the “G2,” a recognition of America and China’s status as the world’s biggest economies. The Group of Seven and Group of 20 are other forums of industrialized nations.
The meeting is set to begin at 11 a.m. (10 p.m. ET) in Busan, South Korea, a port city about 76 kilometers (47 miles) south from Gyeongju, the main venue for the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit.
At a dinner on Wednesday night with other APEC leaders, Trump was caught on a microphone saying the meeting with Xi would be “three, four hours” and he would then go home to Washington.
Officials from both countries met earlier this week in Kuala Lumpur to lay the groundwork for their leaders. Afterward, China’s top trade negotiator Li Chenggang said they had reached a “preliminary consensus,” a statement affirmed by US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent who said there was ” a very successful framework.”
The anticipated detente has given investors and businesses caught between the two nations a sense of relief. The US stock market has climbed on the hopes of a trade framework coming out of the meeting.
However cordial the rhetoric, Trump and Xi remain on a potential collision course as their countries vie to dominate manufacturing, develop emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence and shape world affairs such as the status of Russia’s war in Ukraine. Trump indicated that he did not plan to bring up issues such as the security of Taiwan with Xi.
“The proposed deal on the table fits the pattern we’ve seen all year: short-term stabilization dressed up as strategic progress,” said Craig Singleton, senior director of the China program at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. “Both sides are managing volatility, calibrating just enough cooperation to avert crisis while the deeper rivalry endures.”
The US and China have each shown they believe they have levers to pressure the other, and the past year has demonstrated that tentative steps forward can be short-lived.
For Trump, that pressure comes from tariffs.
Right now, China had faced new tariffs this year totaling 30 percent, of which 20 percent has been tied to its role in fentanyl production. But the tariff rates have been volatile. In April, he announced plans to jack the rate on Chinese goods to 145 percent, only to abandon those plans as markets recoiled.
Then, on Oct. 10, Trump threatened a 100 percent import tax because of China’s rare earth restrictions.
Xi has his own chokehold on the world economy because China is the top producer and processor of the rare earth minerals needed to make fighter jets, robots, electric vehicles and other high-tech products.
China had tightened export restrictions on Oct. 9, repeating a cycle in which each nation jockeys for an edge only to back down after more trade talks.
What might also matter is what happens directly after their talks. Trump plans to return to Washington, while Xi plans to stay on in South Korea to meet with regional leaders during the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit, which officially begins on Friday.
“Xi sees an opportunity to position China as a reliable partner and bolster bilateral and multilateral relations with countries frustrated by the US administration’s tariff policy,” said Jay Truesdale, a former State Department official who is CEO of TD International, a risk and intelligence advisory firm.