ֱ

Oil Updates — prices inch down on expected minimal sanctions impact

Oil Updates — prices inch down on expected minimal sanctions impact
Oil and gas tanks are seen at an oil warehouse at a port in Zhuhai, China. File/Reuters
Short Url
Updated 21 July 2025

Oil Updates — prices inch down on expected minimal sanctions impact

Oil Updates — prices inch down on expected minimal sanctions impact
  • EU sanctions target Russian crude supply, impact uncertain
  • Iran nuclear talks for Friday may affect oil market dynamicsIran nuclear talks for Friday may affect oil market dynamics
  • US tariffs on EU imports could influence oil demand

LONDON: Oil prices dipped slightly on Monday, with the latest European sanctions on Russian oil expected to have minimal impact on supplies while US tariffs ensure demand concerns remain.

Brent crude futures dropped 35 cents, or 0.5 percent, to $68.93 a barrel by 3:24 p.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude slipped by 28 cents, or 0.4 percent, to $67.06.

The EU on Friday approved the 18th package of sanctions against Russia over the war in Ukraine, which also targeted India’s Nayara Energy, an exporter of oil products refined from Russian crude.

“The latest round of EU sanctions aren’t necessarily going to change the oil balance. That’s why the market is not reacting much,” said Harry Tchiliguirian at Onyx Capital Group. “Russians have been very good at circumventing these kinds of sanctions.”

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said on Friday that Russia had built up a certain immunity to Western sanctions.

The EU sanctions followed US President Donald Trump’s threats last week to impose sanctions on buyers of Russian exports unless Russia agrees to a peace deal within 50 days.

ING analysts said the part of the package likely to have an effect is the EU import ban on refined oil products processed from Russian oil in third countries, though it said it could prove difficult to monitor and enforce.

Iran, another sanctioned oil producer, is due to hold nuclear talks with Britain, France and Germany in Istanbul on Friday, an Iranian foreign ministry spokesperson said on Monday.

That follows warnings by the three European countries that a failure to resume negotiations would lead to international sanctions being reimposed on Iran.

In the US, the number of operating oil rigs fell by two to 422 last week, the lowest total since September 2021, Baker Hughes said on Friday.

US tariffs on EU imports are set to kick in on August 1, though US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said on Sunday that he was confident Washington could secure a trade deal with the bloc.

“Tariff concerns will continue to weigh in the lead up to the August 1 deadline, while some support may come from oil inventory data if it shows tight supply,” said IG market analyst Tony Sycamore.

“It feels very much like a $64-$70 range in play for the week ahead.”

Brent crude futures have traded between a low of $66.34 a barrel and a high of $71.53 after a ceasefire deal on June 24 halted the 12-day Israel-Iran war.


Saudi inflation edges up to 2.3% in August, rents remain the key driver 

Saudi inflation edges up to 2.3% in August, rents remain the key driver 
Updated 5 sec ago

Saudi inflation edges up to 2.3% in August, rents remain the key driver 

Saudi inflation edges up to 2.3% in August, rents remain the key driver 

RIYADH: ֱ’s annual inflation rate ticked up to 2.3 percent in August from 2.1 percent in July, with housing rents continuing to do most of the lifting, official data showed. 

According to the General Authority of Statistics, the housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels division rose 5.8 percent year on year, driven by a 7.6 percent increase in actual rentals — the biggest single contribution to headline inflation because housing carries the largest weight in the Consumer Price Index basket.  

While insurance and financial services posted the fastest annual increase at 8.1 percent according to the report, its smaller weight means it adds less to the overall index than housing. 

Beyond rents, personal care, social protection and other goods and services rose 4.8 percent year on year, with restaurants and accommodation up 3 percent, nad recreation, sport and culture up 2.7 percent.

Transport saw a 1.2 percent rise. 

Offsetting this, furnishings and household equipment fell 0.3 percent year on year, while information and communication declined 0.4 percent, providing some relief from tradable goods. 

Across the Gulf Cooperation Council, inflation generally remains contained by currency pegs and energy and food policy buffers, even as categories like housing and services push higher. 

Globally, headline rates have cooled from their 2022 to 2023 peaks but remain sensitive to energy prices, agri-food dynamics, and shipping-related costs, while the services component is still sticky in many large economies. 

Against that backdrop, the Kingdom’s August outcome of 2.3 percent keeps Saudi inflation moderate by international standards, with domestic housing and services rather than imported goods seen as the main swing factors. 

GASTAT has revamped the CPI to align with global best practice: the base year is now 2023, the basket and weights were refreshed using the 2023 Expenditure and Income Survey and other sources, and coverage now spans all regions of the Kingdom. August is the first release under the upgraded framework, aimed at greater inclusiveness, accuracy, and transparency. 
 
What’s driving prices? 

Saudi housing rents are rising because demand in the big cities is racing ahead of immediately available supply. Rapid job creation and ongoing Vision 2030 projects are drawing both Saudis and expatriates into Riyadh, Jeddah and the Eastern Province, lifting household formation and tightening the rental market. 

JLL consultancy reported in September that rents continued to climb in Riyadh and Jeddah, as apartments remain the preferred and more affordable option. 

According to Saud Al-Sulaimani, JLL ֱ’s country lead and head of capital markets, policy support has created strong underlying demand, and the foreign ownership law scheduled for January 2026 is expected to catalyze the sector’s next phase and broaden its mix. 

Supply is expanding, but with a lag: developers are set to deliver roughly 27,500 new units across Riyadh and Jeddah this year, according to JLL, yet absorption remains strong as prices for both apartments and villas have pushed higher, reflecting sustained end-user demand. 

Policymakers are trying to ease pressures through new supply and market-balancing measures, but these effects materialize gradually. 

On the month, the CPI rose 0.1 percent in August. Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels increased 0.4 percent, reflecting a further rise in housing rents. 

Food and beverages gained 0.1; restaurants and accommodation, personal care and other goods, furnishings and household equipment, and tobacco each added 0.1 percent. Insurance and financial services edged up 0.2 percent, while education climbed 0.8 percent. 

Wholesale inflation steady 

ֱ’s Wholesale Price Index, a gauge of pre-retail price trends, rose 2.1 percent year on year in August, unchanged from recent months, and increased 0.2 percent month on month, according to a separate report by GASTAT. 

The annual gain was driven by other transportable goods of 4.2 percent, led by refined petroleum products at 8.2 percent, alongside agriculture and fishery products at 4.4 percent. 

On the month, metal products, machinery and equipment added 0.2 percent, supported by gains in transport equipment at 0.9 percent and fabricated metal products 0.7 percent. 

“Other transportable goods” advanced 0.4 percent month on month on chemicals, while food products, beverages, tobacco and textiles fell 0.1 percent, alongside marginal declines in agriculture and fishery products by 0.1 percent and ores and minerals declining by 0.3 percent 

Wholesale cost dynamics often filter into consumer prices with a lag. August’s pattern, firm refined-product and agricultural readings, but softness in some goods, suggests balanced pipeline pressures heading into the autumn. 

Given the CPI’s composition under the updated 2023 base, housing-related services still look set to dominate the near-term path of inflation. 


GCC central banks’ foreign assets climb 6.3% to $762bn  

GCC central banks’ foreign assets climb 6.3% to $762bn  
Updated 15 September 2025

GCC central banks’ foreign assets climb 6.3% to $762bn  

GCC central banks’ foreign assets climb 6.3% to $762bn  

RIYADH: Foreign assets of Gulf central banks grew by 6.3 percent in 2024 to reach $761.9 billion, supported mainly by higher reserves in the UAE, according to figures from the Gulf Cooperation Council Statistical Center. 

The report, “Monetary and Financial Developments in the GCC States in 2024,” showed the UAE’s net foreign assets jumped 26 percent, accounting for 30.3 percent of the bloc’s total. Oman and Qatar also contributed with gains of 4.8 percent and 4.5 percent, respectively. 

Liquidity expanded across the region as well. Narrow money supply, or M1, hit $801 billion by year-end, up 10 percent from 2023, while broad money supply, or M2, rose 9.3 percent to $1.76 trillion. 

The rise was underpinned by strong growth in demand deposits, along with gains in quasi-money and currency in circulation. 

GCC Secretary General Jasem Al-Budaiwi said: “The challenges arising from global economic trends amid the current political crises, which are reflected in the economies of the GCC countries due to their openness to the world, necessitate the importance of responding to these challenges and taking all necessary measures to confront and mitigate their effects.” 

He noted that the GCC countries have demonstrated, under the most difficult and severe circumstances, their ability to overcome various challenges. 

“I affirm to you that a strong economy can only be achieved through close and joint cooperation, which is what the GCC countries are working on as they move forward in developing cooperation and integration in all fields, including the monetary and banking sector,” he added. 

According to the report’s quarterly analysis, broad money supply posted consistent growth throughout 2024 compared with 2023. By contrast, narrow money supply had declined in the first three quarters of 2023, mainly due to weaker monetary deposits, before recovering later. 

The data further indicated that demand deposits saw high monthly growth rates through 2024 compared with the same months in 2023. 

Quasi-money also recorded notable gains, though at a slowing pace, while currency in circulation outside banks rose at a more moderate rate. Together, these trends contributed to the overall rise in narrow money supply.  

“The GCC countries have managed to establish a competitive presence at both the global and regional levels, and this presence has been clearly evident in competitive indicators across various economic and developmental aspects,” the secretary general concluded. 

Separately, EY’s 2024 year-end GCC Banking Sector Outlook report said the region’s banking industry is “distinguished by its resilience, creative strategies and versatile adaptability to global economic movements and regional transformations.” 

It noted that GCC banks will continue to benefit from strong capital levels, underpinning overall performance. 

EY MENA Financial Services Leader Mayur Pau added: “GCC central banks are expected to continue mirroring the rate movements of the US Fed and the cycle should support the growth of the region’s non-oil sector.” 

He said the regional banking industry is expected to remain strong in 2025, supported by considerable capital buffers, healthy asset quality indicators, and adequate profitability. 


Egypt signs trio of new oil, gas deals worth over $121m

Egypt signs trio of new oil, gas deals worth over $121m
Updated 15 September 2025

Egypt signs trio of new oil, gas deals worth over $121m

Egypt signs trio of new oil, gas deals worth over $121m

JEDDAH: Egypt has signed three oil and gas agreements worth over $121 million with international firms, boosting its energy sector through new exploration and drilling projects across key hydrocarbon zones.

The move is part of the Ministry of Petroleum and Mineral Resources’ strategy to attract international investment and expand exploration activities in the North African country.

Karim Badawi, minister of petroleum and mineral resources, witnessed the signing of the agreements by the Egyptian General Petroleum Corp. with several leading international firms active in oil and gas exploration and production.

In August 2024, Egypt unveiled a new set of incentives to stimulate exploration and development, increase output, and reduce the gap between domestic supply and demand.

More than 60 international companies currently operate across 183 exploration and production sites in the Mediterranean Sea, Nile Delta, and Western and Eastern Deserts, as well as Sinai and Upper Egypt, under the oversight of companies affiliated with the Ministry of Petroleum.

“The first agreement reassigns the North Sinai offshore area to Perenco Egypt, with investments of $46 million to drill three wells and a signing bonus of $1 million,” the ministry said in a statement, carried by the Egyptian Cabinet.

The deal was signed by Salah Abdel Karim, CEO of EGPC, and Raafat El-Beltagy on behalf of Perenco, in the presence of Jon Rokk, CEO of Egypt Kuwait Holding Company, the parent company of Perenco Egypt.

The second agreement covers the East El Hamad area in the Gulf of Suez, favoring the Dubai-based Dragon Oil following its success in the EGPC bidding round. 

Investments for drilling three wells total $40.5 million, with a signing bonus of $4.5 million. The deal was signed by Abdel Karim and Tayeb Huwair, chief operating officer of Dragon Oil, and attended by Abdulkarim Ahmed Al-Mazmi, the company’s CEO.

The third agreement is with Apache Corp., covering the integrated exploration and development area in the Western Desert by adding five new exploration blocks. 

The deal includes $35 million in investments for drilling 14 wells, along with a $25 million signing bonus, and was inked by Abdel Karim and Greg McDaniel, senior vice president of international assets at Apache.

“Following the signing, Karim Badawi emphasized that these agreements reflect the growing confidence of international companies in Egypt’s petroleum investment climate.” the statement said.

The minister added the deals highlight the ministry’s success in offering attractive bidding opportunities and implementing incentive policies that have opened new avenues for exploration, supporting the ministry’s plans to increase production and secure domestic market needs.

These agreements form part of a broader push by Egypt to attract foreign investment in oil and gas, with the government recently approving $221 million in contracts covering the Western Desert, Gulf of Suez, and North Damietta Marine area in the Mediterranean.

The deals, which include at least 24 wells and a $31.5 million non-refundable signing bonus, reflect Egypt’s ambition to reinforce its position as a regional energy hub.

Additional recent approvals for Lukoil and South Valley Egyptian Petroleum in the Eastern Desert further underscore the country’s strategy to expand exploration and production activities across multiple hydrocarbon zones.


Syria targets $2bn in budget revenues from state-owned firms

 Syria targets $2bn in budget revenues from state-owned firms
Updated 15 September 2025

Syria targets $2bn in budget revenues from state-owned firms

 Syria targets $2bn in budget revenues from state-owned firms

RIYADH: Syria plans for state-owned economic enterprises to contribute over $2 billion per annum to the national budget within the next two to three years, the country’s finance minister revealed.

In a post on Facebook, Yisr Barnieh explained that the aim is for these companies to be overseen by boards primarily composed of independent experts, rather than government officials serving due to their public sector roles.

The ambition comes as Syria enters a new economic era, helped by the US lifting key economic sanctions on the country, which is expected to prompt large-scale financial flows, trade normalization, and reintegration into global markets.

The country’s economy was severely damaged by 14 years of conflict, with gross domestic product shrinking by over 50 percent since 2010 and gross national income per capita dropping to only $830 in 2024 — significantly below the global low-income benchmark.

While the Syrian economy is expected to grow by 1 percent in 2025, according to a World Bank report released in July, it still faces continued security challenges, liquidity constraints, and suspended foreign assistance.

In his Facebook post, Barnieh said: “We seek to lay the legal foundation that will help us transform these institutions and companies (absolute generalizations are not permissible) from loss-making companies in rigid, bureaucratic molds plagued by corruption, mismanagement, and waste of public resources, into successful, efficient, competitive companies that serve development.”

He added: “These companies are based on the highest levels of sound and disciplined governance and are provided with the independence, capabilities, tools, and incentives that enable them to grow through specialized, professional management— management built on experience, professionalism, and integrity, not favoritism.” 

The comments came amid a meeting of a committee tasked with developing a legislative framework to regulate and enhance the work of government-owned economic companies.

“Our goal in developing a law regulating the work of government-owned economic companies is not to improve or update the existing systems for managing these institutions and companies. No, our goal is much deeper and more profound than that. Our goal is a radical, far-reaching change in the philosophy of managing and operating these companies,” Barnieh said. 

The newly formed government has begun implementing steps to align the country’s macroeconomic, fiscal, and monetary policies, emphasizing transparent public fund management and prudent fiscal and monetary practices. It is also working to attract essential foreign investment and secure aid pledges to aid in economic recovery.


ֱ’s money supply rises 8.4% to $829bn 

ֱ’s money supply rises 8.4% to $829bn 
Updated 15 September 2025

ֱ’s money supply rises 8.4% to $829bn 

ֱ’s money supply rises 8.4% to $829bn 

RIYADH: ֱ’s broad money supply climbed 8.4 percent in July from a year earlier, adding SR239.97 billion ($63.9 billion) to reach SR3.11 trillion, driven by higher deposits, official data showed. 

The liquidity gauge, known as M3, also advanced 2.1 percent quarter on quarter, rising to SR3.12 trillion by the end of June from SR3.06 trillion in March, the Saudi Press Agency reported, citing central bank figures. 

The pickup in money supply comes as the Saudi Central Bank, known as SAMA, balances liquidity management with efforts to support economic activity under Vision 2030.

Shifts in deposit structures also reflect the influence of interest rates and financial incentives on savings behavior. 

Demand deposits made up the largest share at 46.5 percent, or SR1.45 trillion, followed by time and savings deposits at SR1.12 trillion, accounting for 36.1 percent. Quasi-monetary deposits stood at SR296.72 billion, while currency in circulation outside banks reached SR242.34 billion. 

“Quasi-monetary deposits include residents’ deposits in foreign currencies, deposits against letters of credit, outstanding remittances, and repurchase agreements (repos) executed with the private sector,” the SPA report stated. 

The money supply is categorized into three measures: M1, which includes currency in circulation outside banks in addition to demand deposits; M2, which consists of M1 plus time and savings deposits; and M3, the broadest definition, which adds other quasi-monetary deposits. 

The data highlights a steady shift toward interest-bearing savings, with time and savings deposits expanding faster than demand deposits in recent months. In June, M3 touched a record SR3.12 trillion, up 7.63 percent year on year, marking the highest share of savings deposits in more than a decade. 

Another recent trend is the accelerated growth in time and savings deposits, which has been outpacing demand deposits. 

After peaking at 6 percent, SAMA reduced its repo rate in stages — first to 5.5 percent in September 2024, then to 5 percent in December — in line with US monetary policy.

Despite the cuts, rates remain high compared with previous years, making fixed-term, interest-bearing accounts more attractive than demand balances. 

The US Federal Reserve’s next meeting is set for Sept. 16-17.