UAE’s power capacity set to reach 79.1GW by 2035: GlobalData

Boosting power capacity is essential for the UAE. Shutterstock
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RIYADH: The power capacity of the UAE is expected to reach 79.1 gigawatts by 2035, registering a compound annual growth rate of 3.4 percent from 2024, according to a report.

Findings from data analytics and consulting company GlobalData stated that annual power generation in the Emirates is expected to increase at a CAGR of 3.8 percent from 2024 to 2035, reaching 281.3 terawatt-hours. 

Boosting power capacity is essential for the UAE as energy demand rises alongside a rapidly growing population, which is expected to reach 11.9 million by the end of the decade, up from 11 million today.

A significant factor contributing to this increased energy consumption is the high expatriate population, which accounts for around 88 percent of the total and drives the growth in residential and commercial energy needs.

“The power sector in the UAE offers abundant opportunities for investors, with the government poised to make significant investments in the expansion and modernization of its generation and supply infrastructure,” said Attaurrahman Ojindaram Saibasan, power analyst at GlobalData. 

He added: “The anticipated increase in capacity is projected to occur predominantly in gas-based thermal power, as opposed to oil, where capacity is expected to remain stable. Manufacturers of gas turbines stand to benefit from this surge in gas-fired power capacity.” 

GlobalData further said that the climate conditions in the UAE are exceptionally conducive to solar power generation, prompting the government to allocate extensive tracts of undeveloped land for solar parks, including both photovoltaic and concentrated solar power installations. 

The report added that the UAE has the capability to not only meet local demand using solar energy but also cater to export needs.

The country is taking significant steps to bolster its renewable energy capacity, especially solar power, as a core strategy to address climate change. 

It is targeting a clean energy capacity of 14.2GW by the end of this decade and is planning to invest between $40.84 billion and $54.45 billion to triple renewable energy contribution by 2030. 

“Over the past decade, the UAE has experienced a marked increase in electricity demand, necessitating the importation of natural gas from Qatar,” said Saibasan. 

He added: “In response to this growing demand and to diversify its energy portfolio, the UAE has strategically shifted away from exclusive dependence on natural gas, expanding into renewable and nuclear energy sectors.” 

GlobalData further stated that the development of mega urban projects, such as Masdar City and Expo City Dubai, also highlights the need for sustainable energy solutions. 

“These smart cities are at the forefront of innovation, yet they also contribute to higher electricity consumption. Consequently, this trend necessitates the expansion of the electrical grid and investment in smart infrastructure to meet the evolving demands,” Saibasan concluded.