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Omani banking sector credit surges 7.4% in February

Despite higher social spending under a new protection law, the nonhydrocarbon primary deficit as a share of nonhydrocarbon gross domestic product remained stable. File
Despite higher social spending under a new protection law, the nonhydrocarbon primary deficit as a share of nonhydrocarbon gross domestic product remained stable. File
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Updated 18 May 2025

Omani banking sector credit surges 7.4% in February

Omani banking sector credit surges 7.4% in February
  • Credit extended to the private sector rose by 6.1% annually to 27.3 billion rials
  • Total deposits in the Omani banking sector registered a 6.4% year-on-year growth to reach 32 billion rials

RIYADH: The total credit extended by Oman’s banking sector surged by 7.4 percent year on year to reach 32.9 billion Omani rials ($85.46 billion) by the end of February, new figures showed. 

Released by the Central Bank of Oman, the data indicated that credit extended to the private sector rose by 6.1 percent annually to 27.3 billion rials during the same period. 

This aligns with Oman’s projected economic growth of 3.4 percent in 2025, outpacing many global peers, according to Minister of Commerce, Industry and Investment Promotion Qais bin Mohammed Al-Yousef, who spoke at the International Investment Forum in Muscat in April. 

The February report said: “Non-financial corporations received the highest share of the total private sector credit at approximately 46.3 percent at end-February 2025, followed by the household sector at 44.3 percent.” 




Oman achieved a 6.2 percent budget surplus and a 2.4 percent current account gain in 2024, driven by prudent fiscal policies, high oil prices, and nonhydrocarbon export growth. Shutterstock

It added: “The share of financial corporations was 5.5 percent while other sectors received the remaining 3.8 percent of total private sector credit as at the end of February 2025.” 

The analysis further revealed that total deposits in the Omani banking sector registered a 6.4 percent year-on-year growth to reach 32 billion rials at the end of February. It added that total private sector deposits increased 8.2 percent to 21 billion rials. 

“In terms of sector-wise composition of private sector deposits, the biggest contribution is from household deposits at 50.3 percent, followed by non-financial corporations at 30.4 percent, financial corporations at 16.9 percent and other sectors at 2.4 percent,” the report concluded in that regard.

In January, the 2024 Article IV consultation issued by the International Monetary Fund disclosed that Oman achieved a 6.2 percent budget surplus and a 2.4 percent current account gain in 2024, driven by prudent fiscal policies, high oil prices, and nonhydrocarbon export growth. At the time, the IMF attributed these figures to effective economic management. 

Despite higher social spending under a new protection law, the nonhydrocarbon primary deficit as a share of nonhydrocarbon gross domestic product remained stable, highlighting the government’s commitment to financial discipline, the IMF release explained at the time. 

Government debt as a percentage of gross domestic product also declined further, reaching 35 percent in 2024, marking continued improvement in Oman’s economic fundamentals. 

The findings reflect the broader resilience across the Gulf Cooperation Council region, as highlighted in a December IMF report, which noted that GCC economies have successfully navigated recent shocks, thanks to robust non-hydrocarbon growth and continued reform efforts.


Oil Update — prices dip as markets focus on US-Russia peace talks

Oil Update — prices dip as markets focus on US-Russia peace talks
Updated 29 sec ago

Oil Update — prices dip as markets focus on US-Russia peace talks

Oil Update — prices dip as markets focus on US-Russia peace talks
  • Trump-Putin talks on Aug. 15 raise sanctions relief prospects
  • India steps up US crude buy, WTI arbitrage to Asia stay open
  • China producer prices fall more than expected in July

NEW DELHI: Oil prices fell in Asian trade on Monday, extending declines of more than 4 percent last week as investors awaited the outcome of talks between the US and Russia later this week on the war in Ukraine.

Brent crude futures fell 62 cents, or 0.93 percent, to $65.97 a barrel by 8:31 a.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down 69 cents, or 1.08 percent, to $63.19.

Expectations have risen for a potential end to sanctions that have limited the supply of Russian oil to international markets, after US President Donald Trump said on Friday that he would meet Russian President Vladimir Putin on Aug. 15 in Alaska to negotiate an end to the war in Ukraine.

The talks follow increased US pressure on Russia, raising the prospect that penalties on Moscow could also be tightened if a peace deal is not reached.

“If peace talks falter and the conflict drags on, the market could quickly pivot to a bullish stance, potentially triggering a sharp rally in oil prices,” said Sugandha Sachdeva, founder of SS WealthStreet, a New Delhi-based research firm.

Trump set a deadline of last Friday for Russia, which invaded Ukraine in February 2022, to agree to peace or have its oil buyers face secondary sanctions. At the same time, Washington is pressing India to reduce purchases of Russian oil.

Consultancy Energy Aspects estimated Indian refiners have already purchased WTI totalling 5 million barrels for August loadings, with an incremental 5 million barrels possible depending on tender outcomes, and 5 million barrels for September loadings.

WTI arbitrage to Asia remains open, and India looks set to continue absorbing US crude for now, Energy Aspects said in a weekly note.

Trump’s higher tariffs on imports from dozens of countries, which took effect on Thursday, are expected to weigh on economic activity as they force changes to supply chains and fuel higher inflation.

Dragged down by the gloomy economic outlook, Brent fell 4.4 percent over the week ended Friday, while WTI dropped 5.1 percent.

“The near-term direction will hinge on several key events, including the August 15 meeting between the US and Russian presidents, upcoming speeches from Federal Reserve officials, and the release of the US CPI data,” said Sachdeva.

Separately, data from the National Bureau of Statistics on Saturday showed China’s producer prices fell more than expected in July, while consumer prices remained flat, highlighting the extent to which weak domestic demand and ongoing trade uncertainty are weighing on consumer and business sentiment. 


Closing Bell: Saudi main index ends lower at 10,899

Closing Bell: Saudi main index ends lower at 10,899
Updated 10 August 2025

Closing Bell: Saudi main index ends lower at 10,899

Closing Bell: Saudi main index ends lower at 10,899
  • Parallel market Nomu dropped 199.33 points to close at 26,449.38
  • MSCI Tadawul Index edged up 0.03% to reach 1,407.12

RIYADH: ֱ’s Tadawul All Share Index declined on Sunday, losing 31.19 points, or 0.29 percent, to close at 10,899.11. 

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index stood at SR3.51billion ($935.8 million), with 77 listed stocks advancing and 169 declining. 

The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu also dropped 199.33 points to close at 26,449.38 

The MSCI Tadawul Index slightly edged up by 0.03 percent to reach 1,407.12. 

The top performer on the main market was Red Sea International Co., whose share price rose 10 percent to SR42.24. 

The share price of Tamkeen Human Resource Co. increased 7.94 percent to SR57.1. 

Saudi Reinsurance Co. saw its stock price increase by 5.91 percent to SR47.66. 

Jahez International Co. for Information System Technology witnessed a drop in its share price by 10 percent to SR25.02. 

The company’s share price decreased following the announcement that its net profit for the second quarter fell 21.9 percent year on year to SR23.6 million, down from SR30.2 million in the same quarter last year. 

In corporate announcements, Zamil Industrial Investment Co. posted a net profit of SR25.28 million in the second quarter, a 314.5 percent increase from SR6.1 million in the same quarter in 2024. 

The company attributed the rise in quarterly profit to higher sales across its air conditioning, steel, and insulation sectors, which drove a 25.7 percent increase in gross profit.

This was further supported by a SR1.5 million rise in share of results from associates and joint ventures, lower financial charges by SR4.7 million, and a SR6.9 million reduction in zakat and income tax expenses. 

The company’s share price closed 0.51 percent higher at SR39.80. 

United International Transportation Co., known as Budget Saudi, reported a net profit of SR85.63 million in the second quarter, up 20.8 percent from SR70.87 million last year. 

The company attributed the quarterly increase in profit to higher revenues driven by growth in its rental and lease fleet, improved operational efficiency, and stronger cost control measures, which boosted gross and operating margins. 

The company’s share price ended 2.04 percent lower at SR72.20. 


Egypt’s annual inflation slows to 13.9% in July

Egypt’s annual inflation slows to 13.9% in July
Updated 10 August 2025

Egypt’s annual inflation slows to 13.9% in July

Egypt’s annual inflation slows to 13.9% in July
  • Fruit, vegetable, and meat prices record steep declines
  • Hotels and restaurants recorded a 0.6% increase

RIYADH: Egypt’s annual urban inflation rate eased to 13.9 percent in July, down from 14.9 percent the previous month, as falling food costs helped temper price pressures, official data showed.

Figures from the Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics revealed that the monthly inflation rate declined by 0.6 percent, with the general consumer price index standing at 256.5 points.

The moderation was largely driven by significant drops in key food categories. Fruit prices plunged 11 percent, vegetables fell 7 percent, and meat and poultry were down 4.9 percent. Personal belongings also recorded a marginal decline of 0.5 percent.

However, price increases persisted in some segments. Grains and bread rose 0.4 percent, while dairy products, eggs and cheese each edged up 0.2 percent. Fish and seafood prices also gained 0.2 percent, as did beverages, coffee, tea and cocoa, while mineral water, soft drinks and natural juices climbed 0.8 percent.

Outside the food sector, inflation trends were mixed. Tobacco products saw the steepest rise at 7.8 percent. Clothing and footwear gained 0.3 percent, supported by a 0.4 percent increase in ready-made garments and a 0.2 percent rise in footwear.

FASTFACT

HIGHLIGHTS

Monthly inflation fell 0.6 percent, with the CPI at 256.5 points.

Tobacco increased 7.8 percent, while housing costs rose 0.7 percent.

Some food categories, including grains and bread, posted modest increases.

Housing costs advanced 0.7 percent, driven by a 0.8 percent increase in actual rents and a 1.7 percent rise in home maintenance expenses. 

Furnishings, household equipment and routine maintenance were up 0.7 percent, home textiles rose 2.6 percent, glassware and tableware 0.6 percent, and gardening and household tools 1.2 percent.

Healthcare prices climbed 0.3 percent, reflecting a 0.6 percent increase in outpatient services and a 1.1 percent jump in hospital fees. 

Transportation costs edged higher by 0.1 percent, boosted by a 0.2 percent increase in vehicle purchases and a 0.3 percent rise in private transport expenses.

Communication services rose 0.6 percent, while recreation and culture gained 0.3 percent, supported by higher spending on cultural and entertainment activities and organized tourist trips.

Hotels and restaurants recorded a 0.6 percent increase, with ready meals up 0.5 percent and hotel services up 1.5 percent. Miscellaneous goods and services grew 0.7 percent, led by a 1.2 percent rise in personal care items.


Saudi ports post 12% rise in July container volumes  

Saudi ports post 12% rise in July container volumes  
Updated 10 August 2025

Saudi ports post 12% rise in July container volumes  

Saudi ports post 12% rise in July container volumes  
  • Increases reflect expansion of trade exchange with global markets
  • Maritime traffic expanded 11.27% to 1,017 ships from 914 ships last year

RIYADH: ֱ’s ports handled 722,502 twenty-foot equivalent units in July, marking a 12.01 percent year-on-year increase as infrastructure upgrades and expanded logistics services boosted throughput. 

According to the Saudi Ports Authority, also known as Mawani, the gain was led by a 35.34 percent jump in transshipment volumes to 175,666 TEUs, while export containers climbed 12.86 percent to 275,098 TEUs. Imports recorded a modest 0.10 percent rise to 271,738 TEUs. 

The July performance follows strong growth in May, when Saudi ports handled 720,684 TEUs, up 13 percent year on year.  

The uptick in activity supports the goals of ֱ’s National Transport and Logistics Strategy, which aims to position the Kingdom as a global logistics hub under Vision 2030. 

In a release, Mawani stated: “These increases reflect the expansion of trade exchange with global markets, the stimulation of sectors related to maritime transport, the enhancement of supply chain efficiency, the growth of maritime activity, the support of the Kingdom’s food security, the expansion of economic activity, and the creation of jobs.”   

Total cargo tonnage, comprising general cargo, dry and liquid bulk, grew 2.81 percent to 21.1 million tonnes from 20.6 million tonnes a year earlier. General cargo reached 461,958 tonnes, dry bulk 4 million tonnes, and liquid bulk 16.6 million tonnes.  

Livestock imports climbed 13.18 percent to 582,708 head. The number of ships calling at Saudi ports rose 11.27 percent to 1,017, passenger traffic grew 41.70 percent to 73,953, while vehicle volumes fell 22.66 percent to 69,969 units.  

Maritime traffic expanded by 11.27 percent to 1,017 ships from 914 ships last year. Passenger numbers climbed 41.70 percent to 73,953 compared to 52,191 a year earlier, while vehicle volumes fell 22.66 percent to 69,969 units.  

In August, Mawani signed an SR500 million ($133.2 million) contract with Petrotank to establish an integrated marine bunkering hub at King Fahad Industrial Port in Yanbu, a project aimed at enhancing fuel storage and bunkering capacity, attracting more vessels, and boosting the competitiveness of Saudi ports.  

Spanning 110,700 sq. meters and operating under a 20-year lease, the facility will boost fuel and oil storage capacity, increase vessel traffic, and strengthen the Kingdom’s competitiveness in global shipping. 


Deflation to shape global outlook despite inflation risks, QNB says

Deflation to shape global outlook despite inflation risks, QNB says
Updated 10 August 2025

Deflation to shape global outlook despite inflation risks, QNB says

Deflation to shape global outlook despite inflation risks, QNB says
  • Bank says global economy has entered new phase characterized by structural fluctuations
  • Shifts in prices of key goods and services remain among most closely monitored macroeconomic indicators

RIYADH: Long-term deflationary forces are set to dominate global trends, interrupted by brief inflation surges triggered by geopolitical and structural shocks, Qatar National Bank has warned. 

In its weekly report, carried by the Qatar News Agency, the bank said the new macroeconomic phase will be defined by structural fluctuations, not a purely inflationary or deflationary environment, with prices periodically jolted by supply disruptions and policy shifts. 

The assessment comes as the International Monetary Fund forecasts global inflation to ease to 4.2 percent this year and 3.6 percent in 2026, even as major economies send mixed signals, with US consumer prices rising 2.7 percent year on year in June and China’s consumer price index edging up to 0.1 percent after months of decline. 

“The bank pointed out that the global economy is no longer stable in a purely inflationary or contractionary environment, but has entered a new phase characterized by structural fluctuations,” QNA reported. 

It said shifts in the prices of key goods and services remain among the most closely monitored macroeconomic indicators, alongside economic growth rates, as they directly impact purchasing power, consumer confidence, investment decisions, and monetary policy.  

Inflation vs. deflation 

While moderate inflation is considered normal and even necessary for economic growth, QNB said excessive inflation or sharp deflation can lead to structural imbalances and long-term economic disruptions. 

The report cited the “Great Moderation” in advanced economies as an example of stable growth under controlled inflation. However, it cautioned that central banks’ aggressive monetary tightening in response to inflation can also trigger recessions or financial stress.  

QNB’s report said some geopolitical development could have deflationary consequences by reducing efficiency and demand, under certain conditions. QNA

On the other hand, deflation — a sustained drop in price levels — often signals deeper structural weaknesses, such as weak demand, financial deleveraging, or demographic decline. While falling prices may seem beneficial at first glance, QNB said they can reduce consumption, delay investment, increase real debt burdens, and trap economies in a low-growth cycle. 

Japan’s “Lost Decade” was cited as a prime example of deflation’s damaging long-term effects, with other major economies facing similar challenges after the 2007-08 financial crisis.  

Post-pandemic uncertainty 

The report said the post-COVID-19 era, combined with supply shocks, led to unusually high inflation, but economists remain divided on whether inflation or deflation will dominate in the medium to long term.  

QNA said “some analysts highlight that one of the main reasons why inflation is returning to the fore as a source of economic concern lies in the disintegration of many structural factors that supported the Great Moderation.” 

Rising geopolitical fragmentation has disrupted global trade, while supply chain reconfigurations, green transition costs, and demographic pressures could keep inflation structurally higher.  

Others believe technology-driven deflationary forces will prevail. Innovations in automation, artificial intelligence, and digital services continue to reduce costs, offsetting inflationary pressures. 

A July report by Morgan Stanley said the ongoing AI wave continues to dominate global markets, with significant investments projected in data centers. 

The report forecasted that global data center spending would reach $2.9 trillion by 2028, covering hardware such as chips and servers, and infrastructure, including construction and maintenance. 

QNB also said some geopolitical developments, including trade fragmentation, could have deflationary consequences by reducing efficiency and demand, under certain conditions.