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OPEC cuts non-OPEC+ oil supply forecast amid falling investment

While the US remains the leading source of non-OPEC+ supply growth, OPEC has revised its US output forecast downward, now expecting an increase of 300,000 bpd in 2025 compared to 400,000 bpd predicted last month. File
While the US remains the leading source of non-OPEC+ supply growth, OPEC has revised its US output forecast downward, now expecting an increase of 300,000 bpd in 2025 compared to 400,000 bpd predicted last month. File
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Updated 14 May 2025

OPEC cuts non-OPEC+ oil supply forecast amid falling investment

OPEC cuts non-OPEC+ oil supply forecast amid falling investment

RIYADH: OPEC has lowered its forecast for oil supply growth from non-OPEC+ producers in 2025, citing reduced capital spending and mounting market pressures.

In its monthly report released Wednesday, OPEC said it now expects oil output from countries outside the OPEC+ alliance to increase by about 800,000 barrels per day in 2025 — down from last month’s estimate of 900,000 bpd.

OPEC+—which includes OPEC members, Russia, and other allied producers— has struggled in recent years to stabilize the market amid surging production from US shale and other non-member nations. A slowdown in that growth would ease the path for OPEC+ to manage supply more effectively.

The group also reported a projected 5 percent decline in capital expenditure on oil exploration and production outside OPEC+ in 2025. This follows a $3 billion increase in 2024 investment, which brought total spending to $299 billion.

“The potential impact on production levels in 2025 and 2026 of the decline in upstream E&P oil investments will constitute a challenge, despite the industry’s continued focus on efficiency and productivity improvements,” the report said.

While the US remains the leading source of non-OPEC+ supply growth, OPEC has revised its US output forecast downward, now expecting an increase of 300,000 bpd in 2025 compared to 400,000 bpd predicted last month.

Oil prices have come under additional pressure recently following OPEC+’s decision to accelerate output increases in May and June, as well as the implementation of new trade tariffs by President Donald Trump.

Despite global economic headwinds, OPEC left its forecasts for oil demand growth in 2025 and 2026 unchanged, after cutting them last month. The decision reflects updated data from the first quarter and the influence of shifting trade dynamics.

The group welcomed the recent trade deal between the US and China, calling it a sign of potential longer-term stabilization.

“The 90-day trade agreement between the US and China suggests the potential for more lasting agreements, likely supporting a normalization of trade flows but at potentially elevated tariff levels compared to pre-April escalations,” OPEC said.


Foreign investor rule changes for Saudi stock market out for consultation

Foreign investor rule changes for Saudi stock market out for consultation
Updated 02 October 2025

Foreign investor rule changes for Saudi stock market out for consultation

Foreign investor rule changes for Saudi stock market out for consultation

RIYADH: Foreign investors may soon be able to buy Saudi stocks without restrictions, under a draft plan aimed at boosting liquidity and expanding the Kingdom’s $3 trillion equity market. 

The proposal, now out for a 30-day consultation, would allow all categories of non-resident investors to purchase shares directly on the Tadawul Main Market.

It would dismantle the Qualified Foreign Investor framework and scrap swap agreements, long seen as barriers to international participation, according to an official release.

Gulf markets such as Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Qatar, as well as Kuwait, Bahrain, and Oman, already allow foreign investors to buy shares directly, boosting liquidity, attracting global capital, and modernizing their exchanges. 

Foreign ownership in Saudi equities has already climbed sharply, exceeding SR528 billion ($141 billion) by the second quarter of 2025, Capital Market Authority data shows. If approved, the changes would mark the most significant market opening since direct foreign access was first introduced in 2015. 

“The draft aims to broaden and diversify the base of investors eligible to participate in the Main Market, while also attracting additional investments and increasing market liquidity,” the CMA said. 

The consultation runs until Oct. 31, with final rules to follow after feedback is reviewed. 

Once approved, foreign investors would be able to purchase shares in listed companies on the main market directly, without going through these extra layers. Non-resident investors would be able to open accounts and invest directly in listed securities. 

ֱ’s move fits into a broader program of capital-market modernization aimed at boosting liquidity and global participation. 

In July, the CMA eased rules for foreign investors to open accounts, while amendments to investment fund regulations aligned the market more closely with global standards. 

The latest draft follows a late-September policy signal that fueled a rally in Saudi equities and comes as officials weigh lifting the long-standing 49 percent cap on foreign ownership. 

The CMA pointed to strong growth in overseas participation as a foundation for the change. 

The regulator framed the draft as part of a phased approach to position Riyadh as an international marketplace capable of attracting larger, more diverse flows of foreign capital. 

The initiative, it said, is intended to strengthen confidence among market participants and support the broader local economy. 

Stakeholders can submit comments through the Unified Electronic Platform for Consulting the Public and Government Entities or via a prescribed email form. The CMA said it will review all relevant submissions before finalizing the amendments. 


Cybersecurity not ‘compliance checkbox’ but enabler of trust for investment, GCF experts say 

Fifth Global Cybersecurity Forum convened global decision-makers and experts in Riyadh Oct. 1-2 to shape future of cyberspace.
Fifth Global Cybersecurity Forum convened global decision-makers and experts in Riyadh Oct. 1-2 to shape future of cyberspace.
Updated 02 October 2025

Cybersecurity not ‘compliance checkbox’ but enabler of trust for investment, GCF experts say 

Fifth Global Cybersecurity Forum convened global decision-makers and experts in Riyadh Oct. 1-2 to shape future of cyberspace.

RIYADH: On the second day of the Global Cybersecurity Forum, discussions focused sharply on the critical role of cybersecurity in influencing foreign direct investment. 

“Investors want to know that leaders both in government and in business take cybersecurity seriously at the very top, they want to see budgets allocated, regulations enforced, and results reported,” Bocar A. Ba, CEO of SAMENA Telecommunications Council, said. 

“That visible prioritization is what gives them confidence that risks are managed, opportunities are sustainable, and the capital, most importantly, is protected,” he added.

In a session focused on securing investment, experts emphasized that cyber readiness directly shapes investor confidence and national risk profiles, urging top-level prioritization of cybersecurity, noting that nations and companies able to demonstrate robust cyber defenses are better positioned for economic success.

In what he called the single most important action, Ba stated: “Making cybersecurity a leadership priority and not a cost to be managed quietly in an IT department, and not a box to tick for compliance but a central pillar for national and corporate economic strategy.”

During the session, he stressed that “cybersecurity is not the enemy of investment, it is the enabler of trust in investment.” 

He added: “Cybersecurity has been the guarantor of stability and the foundation of investment trust.”

The SAMENA Telecommunications Council called for joint action on several fronts, “first by developing a cyber readiness framework with measurable benchmarks ... practising more transparency, and third by creating regulatory sandboxes where cybersecurity solutions could be tested in partnerships with regulators.”

Speaking alongside Ba on the panel were Wael Fattouh, chief of advisory at SITE, and Christopher Steed, CIO and managing director of Paladin Capital Group. 

The panelists discussed how strengthening cyber resilience, governance, and transparency can attract investment and position economies as secure hubs in an interconnected world.

Fattouh stated: “The Saudi market has reached a level of maturity and capability that we are now looking to be cocreators, co-investors, in innovation, innovators with the IP.” 

During the forum, Site stated that they are preparing to launch “the first Saudi IP for next generation firewall and HDR.” 

This marks the fifth Global Cybersecurity Forum, which convened global decision-makers and experts in Riyadh Oct. 1-2 to shape the future of cyberspace under the theme “Scaling Cohesive Advancement in Cyberspace.”


Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red at 11,495 

Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red at 11,495 
Updated 02 October 2025

Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red at 11,495 

Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red at 11,495 

RIYADH: ֱ’s Tadawul All Share Index dipped on Thursday, losing 33.64 points, or 0.29 percent, to close at 11,495.72. 

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR6.49 billion ($1.72 billion), as 96 of the listed stocks advanced, while only 148 retreated. 

The MSCI Tadawul Index also decreased, down 6.68 points, or 0.44 percent, to close at 1,499.76. 

The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu lost 283.31 points, or 1.11 percent, to close at 25,306.09. This comes as 37 of the listed stocks advanced, while 56 retreated. 

The best-performing stock was Sport Clubs Co., with its share price surging by 5.24 percent to SR10.64. 

Other top performers included Almoosa Health Co., which saw its share price rise by 4.37 percent to SR179, and Sustained Infrastructure Holding Co., which saw a 4.30 percent increase to SR34.48. 

Al Moammar Information Systems Co. jumped 4.21 percent to SR143.60, while Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical Co. gained 4.13 percent to SR7.81. 

On the downside, Bupa Arabia for Cooperative Insurance Co. recorded the steepest drop of the day, falling 4.36 percent to SR158.10. 

Al Gassim Investment Holding Co. fell 3.24 percent to SR18.23, while Walaa Cooperative Insurance Co. slipped 2.68 percent to SR11.97. 

Nahdi Medical Co. fell 2.65 percent to SR121, while Dar Alarkan Real Estate Development Co. slipped 2.52 percent to SR19.35. 

On the announcements front, the Saudi Telecom Co., known as stc, said that its subsidiary, the Public Telecommunications Co. — Specialized, has secured a SR5.5 billion Islamic Murabaha facility. 

According to a Tadawul statement, the 12-year financing agreement, effective from Oct. 1, includes a SR3.5 billion participation from the Saudi National Bank and SR2 billion from the Arab National Bank. 

Secured by a corporate guarantee from stc, the funds will be used to finance the capital and operating expenditures for building, operating, and providing telecommunications infrastructure services. 

Shares of stc rose 1.45 percent in the session on the main market, closing at SR44.64. 


’O𲹱 taps ֱ as global beauty innovation launchpad

’O𲹱 taps ֱ as global beauty innovation launchpad
Updated 02 October 2025

’O𲹱 taps ֱ as global beauty innovation launchpad

’O𲹱 taps ֱ as global beauty innovation launchpad
  • ֱ has become a strategic hub for ’O𲹱’s global beauty tech innovation, driven by high digital penetration and a vibrant beauty culture
  • ’O𲹱’s socio-economic footprint in the Kingdom includes 8,765 jobs supported and more than 35,000 individuals reached through empowerment and education programs

RIYADH: As ֱ accelerates its transformation under Vision 2030, the beauty industry is not only keeping pace — it is helping to lead the charge. 

At the forefront of this dynamic is ’O𲹱, whose latest socio-economic impact study, conducted by Asteres, reveals a commitment to shaping the future of beauty.

Speaking on the sidelines of the report’s release, Vismay Sharma, President of ’O𲹱’s South Asia Pacific, Middle East and North Africa division, shared how ֱ is fast becoming a global epicenter for beauty innovation, digital transformation, and youth empowerment.

“ֱ is one of the fastest growing and most dynamic beauty markets worldwide. ’O𲹱 views the Kingdom as a cornerstone of our future, a $2 billion market with immense growth potential,” said Vismay.

With 99 percent internet penetration and 134 percent mobile connectivity, ֱ stands among the most digitally connected societies in the world. This connectivity is revolutionizing the consumer landscape, making multichannel retail and beauty tech standard practice rather than futuristic fantasy.

“A typical Saudi woman uses nine makeup products every day — more than the average of seven in Europe,” Vismay noted. “Saudi consumers are digitally-savvy and highly connected, and this is driving growth in social commerce and interest in beauty tech.”

From artificial intelligence-powered hair diagnostics to augmented reality virtual try-ons, ’O𲹱 is embedding cutting-edge tech into everyday routines. The Lancome ֱ website already offers such immersive experiences, allowing customers to find their ideal foundation, lipstick or mascara with just a click.

“Three-quarters of Saudi consumers buy beauty products both online and offline, reflecting this ‘omnichannel’ shopping trend,” said Vismay. “We partner with leading e-commerce players to create outstanding experiences.”

With nearly 50 percent of the population under the age of 30, ֱ’s youth are not only the largest consumer segment but also the future workforce of the beauty industry.

“Gen Z consumers are redefining cultural shifts and consumption trends, demanding personalized, digital-first experiences,” said Vismay.

Campaigns like Garnier’s “Ramadaniyat,” a culturally relevant talk show that engaged young Saudis during Ramadan, exemplify how ’O𲹱 is speaking the language of the next generation. On the workforce side, the ’O𲹱 Professional Hairdressing Academy has already trained over 100 Saudi women, with an ambitious goal of 1,000 graduates by 2029.

’O𲹱’s influence is not only economic, but social. The group’s initiatives have reached over 35,000 individuals, with programs supporting women’s empowerment, education, upskilling and entrepreneurship.

“We’re incredibly proud that to date, over 100 Saudi women have already graduated from five academies across the Kingdom,” Vismay shared. 

“These programs directly support Saudi Vision 2030’s goal of increasing female workforce participation,” he added.

FASTFACT

Key figures from ’O𲹱’s socio-economic impact study:

• 8,765 jobs supported in ֱ via the ’O𲹱 value chain

• SR3.2 billion in total sales generated

• 35,000+ individuals impacted by social programs

• 348 tons of waste recycled through the Garnier Green Beauty initiative

• 100+ Saudi women trained through the ’O𲹱 Professional Hairdressing Academy

• 57 Arab female scientists supported since 2014, including 16 from ֱ as part of the ’O𲹱-UNESCO For Women in Science Middle East Regional Young Talents

The Kingdom is not just a market — it is a testing ground for global innovation.
“Driven by Vision 2030 and events like LEAP, ֱ is a leading incubator for tech innovation. For ’O𲹱, we see the Kingdom as a gateway to scale beauty innovation,” said Vismay.

’O𲹱’s presence at LEAP 2025, where it was the only beauty company exhibiting over 20 AI-driven innovations, underscored ֱ’s role as a launchpad for beauty tech across emerging markets.

FASTFACT

Other standout initiatives in the region include:

• 30,000+ people trained via the Stand-Up Against Street

• Harassment program in partnership with Himayah Organization

• 600+ women supported through the Safe Homes initiative in partnership with ’O𲹱 ֱ

• 1,000 chemotherapy patients assisted by the Fight With Care program, a partnership between La Roche-Posay and King Faisal Specialist Hospital Foundation

• 16 Saudi female scientists supported via the ’O𲹱-UNESCO For Women in Science awards

“Our journey in the Kingdom is grounded in our belief that business performance and positive impact must go hand-in-hand,” said Laurent Duffier, managing director of ’O𲹱 Middle East and ’O𲹱 ֱ.

As ֱ continues to reimagine its future, ’O𲹱’s presence offers a compelling model for how the beauty industry can drive economic inclusion, social progress, and sustainable innovation — from the Kingdom and far beyond.


Bahri signs deal with IMI for first Saudi-built large-scale fleet

Bahri signs deal with IMI for first Saudi-built large-scale fleet
Updated 02 October 2025

Bahri signs deal with IMI for first Saudi-built large-scale fleet

Bahri signs deal with IMI for first Saudi-built large-scale fleet

RIYADH: ֱ’s national shipping carrier Bahri has ordered six Ultramax bulk carriers from International Maritime Industries, marking the Kingdom’s first large-scale commercial vessel project. 

The ships will be built at IMI’s Ras Al-Khair yard, the largest maritime facility in the Middle East, and are designed for efficiency and access to ports with limited infrastructure, according to a press release. 

The move to build its first Saudi-made vessels comes as part of Bahri’s ongoing fleet modernization program. 

The initiative recently saw a significant boost in August, when the company signed a $1 billion deal to purchase nine very large crude carriers from Greece-based Capital Maritime and Trading Corp.

Ahmed Ali Al-Subaey, CEO of Bahri, said: “This agreement marks a strategic milestone for Bahri and a defining moment for the maritime industry in the Kingdom.” 

He added: “Through our partnership with International Maritime Industries to launch the first large-scale national shipbuilding program, we are not only modernizing our fleet but also laying the foundations for a sustainable and globally competitive maritime sector.” 

Al-Subaey noted that the construction of these new carriers will allow the company to expand into strategic markets, elevate service levels, strengthen supply chain resilience, and create long-term value for customers and stakeholders. 

The newly designed Ultramax carriers are engineered for high levels of flexibility and operational efficiency. A key feature is their ability to access ports with limited infrastructure, which will allow Bahri’s dry bulk sector to expand into specialized markets and emerging trade routes. 

This capability is expected to reduce exposure to market volatility and enhance the resilience, competitiveness, and sustainability of the rapidly evolving shipping industry. 

The agreement reflects Bahri’s support for the Kingdom’s maritime industry and its role in strengthening the national economy and supply-chain capabilities to enhance ֱ’s trade competitiveness.

The company posted solid financial results in the first quarter of 2025, with net profits increasing 18 percent year on year to SR533 million ($142 million), supported by fleet efficiency, proceeds from vessel sales, and diversified shipping operations.