海角直播

Saudi debt capital market nears $500bn mark amid global uncertainty

The Kingdom鈥檚 debt market is poised to surpass $500 billion in outstanding value by the end of 2025, driven by strong economic fundamentals, diversified funding strategies, and continued progress under Vision 2030. AFP
The Kingdom鈥檚 debt market is poised to surpass $500 billion in outstanding value by the end of 2025, driven by strong economic fundamentals, diversified funding strategies, and continued progress under Vision 2030. AFP
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Updated 28 April 2025

Saudi debt capital market nears $500bn mark amid global uncertainty

Saudi debt capital market nears $500bn mark amid global uncertainty
  • Kingdom鈥檚 sukuk dominance and Vision 2030 progress fuel 16 percent annual growth, Fitch Ratings reports

RIYADH: 海角直播鈥檚 debt capital market continued its upward trajectory in the first quarter of 2025, defying global challenges and uncertainties.

The market reached $465.8 billion by the end of March, marking a 16 percent year-on-year increase, with sukuk accounting for 60.4 percent of the total, according to Fitch Ratings.

The Kingdom鈥檚 debt market is poised to surpass $500 billion in outstanding value by the end of 2025, driven by strong economic fundamentals, diversified funding strategies, and continued progress under Vision 2030.

Fitch Ratings, in its latest report, noted that the sector鈥檚 further expansion this year will be supported by increased fiscal deficits, heightened project financing needs, and regulatory initiatives aimed at boosting non-oil economic growth.

鈥淪audi entities were the largest US dollar debt issuers among emerging markets (excluding China) in the first quarter of 2025. The country also led global dollar sukuk issuance and was the largest debt capital market issuer in the GCC,鈥 said Bashar Al-Natoor, global head of Islamic finance at Fitch Ratings.

He added: 鈥淲e expect lower oil prices and increasing deficits will drive issuance in 2025 and 2026. Banks, corporates and projects are likely to seek more diverse funding through the DCM, enhancing market development. We rate about 80 percent of the outstanding US dollar Saudi sukuk market, with almost all investment-grade and no defaults.鈥

Issuance in the first quarter of 2025 surged by 202.4 percent compared to the previous quarter, reaching $37.3 billion. Environmental, social, and governance debt made up 9 percent of dollar-denominated DCM issuance during the period.

The expansion of 海角直播鈥檚 asset management industry, whose assets under management have now exceeded SR1 trillion, is also playing a key role in supporting the growth of the Kingdom鈥檚 debt capital market.

Saudi momentum

In an interview with Arab News on the sidelines of the Fitch on 海角直播 event held in Riyadh, Al-Natoor lauded the Kingdom debt market for weathering global economic challenges.

鈥淚 think that by itself is something that鈥檚 very notable, because there is a lot of turbulence and there is a lot of uncertainties, and despite that, we鈥檝e still seen the market growing,鈥 Al-Natoor said, adding that he expected to see continued growth.

He went on to say that a range of bodies 鈥 including government, corporates, financial institutions and banks 鈥 are involved with developing the debt capital market, then funding the maturities that are coming.

鈥淎ll of these are drivers, and key drivers for further growth, growth of the debt capital market,鈥 he said.

Al-Natoor noted that several factors, including the need to diversify funding sources and the ambitious project underway in the Kingdom, are acting as key drivers of growth for 海角直播鈥檚 debt capital market from the issuer side.

On investor appetite, he said: 鈥淲e鈥檙e having a vibrant market in the first quarter where it shows that local investor, regional investor and international investor, of course, at varying degrees, are still interested in the market, so there is an investor appetite in that.鈥

He cautioned, however, that the Saudi market is not insulated from global volatility.

鈥淥f course the appetite of the investors, maybe some uncertainties, will have a toll on the market itself. However, the actual fundamentals of the market growth are still intact, and the market is still expected to grow in the future,鈥 Al-Natoor said.

According to Fitch, the Kingdom鈥檚 budget deficit is forecasted to widen to 5.1 percent of gross domestic product in 2025, up from 2.8 percent in 2024, with oil prices expected to average $65 per barrel.

Government debt is projected to rise to nearly 37 percent of GDP by the end of 2026, from 29.9 percent in 2024.

Foreign investor participation in government local issuances increased to 7.7 percent at the end of the first quarter, compared to 4.5 percent at the end of 2024.

About 94.2 percent of rated Saudi sukuk remain within the 鈥淎鈥 category, with almost all issuers maintaining stable outlooks.

Looking ahead, Al-Natoor said: 鈥淲e don鈥檛 have specific numbers, but we do expect that the growth momentum to continue in 2025 and 2026 maybe step further.鈥

He added that changes to 鈥済lobal scenery鈥 could have an impact on appetite and liquidity in this area, which may lead to a 鈥渢oll on the growth鈥 of debt capital markets that lasts into next year.

Al-Natoor noted that government entities and banks are currently the primary drivers of debt issuance in 海角直播.

While major corporations such as Aramco and the Public Investment Fund have also begun tapping into the debt capital market, their participation has not significantly shifted the overall market structure.

He suggested that although more corporate issuers may gradually enter the market, the dominant role of government and banks in issuance activity is expected to remain unchanged in the short to medium term.

鈥淭he actual strategy of diversifying funding is to take it down the chain from the government to banks to corporates to projects to infrastructure and so the actual long-term ambition is to involve more of these,鈥 he said.

Al-Natoor continued: 鈥淗owever, over the short to medium term, we do expect that the government and the banks will play a big role.鈥

He added that it will take time until 鈥渢he momentum goes down the chain.鈥

Economic resilience

In a separate interview with Arab News, Paul Gamble, head of Middle East and Africa Sovereigns at Fitch Ratings, highlighted that 海角直播鈥檚 non-oil economy showed resilience despite global uncertainty.

鈥淚f you look at the experience of 2024, we saw pretty good non-oil growth at a time of really heightened geopolitical tensions in the region,鈥 Gamble said.

Regarding 海角直播鈥檚 Vision 2030 economic transformation, Gamble stressed the importance of separating reform-driven non-oil GDP expansion from government spending-driven growth.

鈥淵ou have to balance the domestic reform angle 鈥 labor market reforms, social reforms, business environment reforms 鈥 against the element of non-oil growth that鈥檚 driven by government spending and GRE (government-related entities) spending,鈥 he said.

Gamble cautioned that if oil prices remain low and government capital spending is cut significantly, it could impact private sector confidence.

He noted: 鈥淔or the moment, we鈥檙e still looking for pretty healthy non-oil growth. Our forecast is 4.2 percent for non-oil growth this year for 海角直播.鈥

Discussing fiscal pressures, Gamble said: 鈥淲e鈥檝e revised down our oil price forecast to $65 a barrel, which widened our budget deficit forecast for 海角直播 to 5.1 percent of GDP. That will continue to put debt on an upward trend.鈥

He added: 鈥淥il prices were broadly unaffected, and metrics like tourism inflows and private sector confidence remained strong.鈥

In the wider Gulf region, Gamble said: 鈥淔rom a rating perspective, four GCC sovereigns have stable outlooks. Bahrain and Oman are exceptions.鈥

He explained that Bahrain faces significant fiscal challenges at current oil prices, while Oman benefits from past deleveraging efforts and non-oil economic development, supporting its positive outlook.


海角直播鈥檚 Matarat, Thales sign deal to transform air travel experience

海角直播鈥檚 Matarat, Thales sign deal to transform air travel experience
Updated 10 sec ago

海角直播鈥檚 Matarat, Thales sign deal to transform air travel experience

海角直播鈥檚 Matarat, Thales sign deal to transform air travel experience

RIYADH: Matarat Holding, the state-owned company responsible for managing 海角直播鈥檚 airports, has signed a strategic agreement with French aerospace and defense giant Thales to advance the Kingdom鈥檚 aviation sector through cutting-edge digital technologies.

The agreement, formalized during the Passenger Terminal Expo 2025 in Madrid, Spain, focuses on enhancing innovation, operational efficiency, and the overall passenger experience across the Kingdom鈥檚 27 airports.

According to a statement by Matarat, the partnership will leverage Thales鈥 expertise in artificial intelligence, biometrics, automation, and data-driven systems to develop safer, smarter, and more efficient travel journeys.

As part of the collaboration, advanced digital platforms and next-generation infrastructure will be deployed throughout 海角直播鈥檚 airport network.

鈥淭his collaboration with Matarat Holding represents a revolutionary step in reimagining the future of the Saudi aviation sector,鈥 said Bernard Roux, CEO of Thales in 海角直播 and Central Asia.

鈥淏y combining Thales鈥 digital transformation capabilities with Matarat鈥檚 operational excellence, we aim to build a smart and secure aviation ecosystem.鈥

Roux emphasized that the integration of AI, cybersecurity solutions, and connected systems will not only improve passenger experience and boost efficiency, but also enhance national security鈥 contributing directly to the Kingdom鈥檚 Vision 2030 goal of becoming a global aviation leader.

In addition to technology deployment, the agreement includes knowledge-sharing initiatives, operational streamlining, and joint innovation efforts aimed at future-proofing the Kingdom鈥檚 aviation infrastructure.


Cairo plans economic independence as IMF program nears end

Cairo plans economic independence as IMF program nears end
Updated 27 min 46 sec ago

Cairo plans economic independence as IMF program nears end

Cairo plans economic independence as IMF program nears end

RIYADH: Egypt is preparing to transition away from its current economic reform program with the International Monetary Fund, which is scheduled to conclude by late 2026 or early 2027, according to the country鈥檚 prime minister.  

Speaking during his weekly press conference, Mostafa Madbouly stated that the government is developing a long-term national economic strategy that will extend to 2030 and focus on sustaining growth without relying on international institutions, according to an official release.  

The comments come as Egypt attempts to stabilize an economy that has struggled with record inflation, a depreciating currency, and mounting debt. Over the past few years, authorities have pushed through reforms to unlock external funding, including a major IMF deal, Gulf-backed investments, and a record sale of state assets. 

In a release on its official social media handle, the Egyptian Cabinet quoted the prime minister as saying: 鈥淲e are aiming to develop a national program for the Egyptian state without relying on other international institutions. This will be linked to submitting, for the first time next year, a three-year budget.鈥 

In response to a question about the government鈥檚 vision beyond the current IMF program and its efforts to preserve the gains reflected in recent positive economic indicators, the release added: 鈥淢adbouly confirmed that the government is drafting a detailed plan extending to 2030. This reflects a broader outlook beyond the IMF program, which ends by late 2026 or early 2027.鈥 

Egypt鈥檚 current $8 billion program with the IMF began as a $3 billion agreement in late 2022 and was expanded by $5 billion in March 2024.   

The deal includes major reforms such as currency devaluation, sharp interest rate hikes, tighter fiscal policy, and privatization of state-owned assets. 

So far, Egypt has received about $3.3 billion, with a fifth program review conducted in early May 2025. 

The IMF continues to stress the importance of accelerating structural reforms and managing debt levels.  

In the release, Madbouly emphasized that the government is prioritizing macroeconomic stability and social development.   

He pointed to the growing importance of social support programs, saying they would continue to expand annually.   

He also underlined the importance of technological advancement, industrial development, and greater reliance on digital transformation and artificial intelligence in the country鈥檚 future economic model.  

Regarding Egypt鈥檚 ongoing IMF program, Madbouly clarified that the reform agenda was created and implemented by the Egyptian government itself, with the IMF acting in a supportive role.   

He said the presence of the IMF and similar institutions in Egypt serves as a confidence signal to foreign investors and the global financial community, and that the IMF鈥檚 involvement does not entail new conditions or burdens on citizens.  

Madbouly also addressed developments in the Future of Egypt agricultural project, which he said is designed to rely on modern, mechanized farming and industrial methods.   

Unlike traditional high-density agricultural zones in the Nile Delta, the new areas will be less labor-intensive and structured to attract large-scale private sector participation.   

He said the aim is to preserve agricultural productivity by avoiding the fragmentation of land that has affected other regions.  

On technical education reform, Madbouly announced that the government is reviewing plans to convert outdated commercial diploma schools into modern technological schools that align with labor market needs.   

This reform will also involve private sector partnerships and follow successful models such as the WE School for ICT Education.   

He noted that graduates from current vocational tracks will be eligible to join digital transformation initiatives like the state-supported Digital Pioneers Program.  

In the health sector, the prime minister confirmed that the second phase of Egypt鈥檚 universal health insurance scheme will expand to five additional governorates.   

He added that one densely populated governorate might also be included in this phase, bringing the total number of covered regions to 12.   

Madbouly said the system鈥檚 financial viability has been reassessed and extended to ensure it can remain sustainable for up to 50 years.  

He also spoke about the government鈥檚 plan to support the local production of infant formula, describing it as a capital-intensive industry that requires significant investment.   

The state is encouraging private sector participation in this strategic initiative and is ready to act as a partner to ensure long-term success and stability in production.  


Savings deposits hit highest share in 16 years as Saudi money supply climbs to $815bn

Savings deposits hit highest share in 16 years as Saudi money supply climbs to $815bn
Updated 22 min 18 sec ago

Savings deposits hit highest share in 16 years as Saudi money supply climbs to $815bn

Savings deposits hit highest share in 16 years as Saudi money supply climbs to $815bn

RIYADH: Saudi banks鈥 money supply rose 8.22 percent year on year to SR3.06 trillion ($815 billion) in March, driven by a sharp surge in time and savings deposits, recent data showed.

According to figures by the Saudi Central Bank, also known as SAMA, this category increased by 27.55 percent during the period to reach SR1.07 trillion, the greatest growth rate in over 14 months. It now accounts for 35.2 percent of the total money supply, marking its highest share in 16 years.

The notable shift reflects changing behavior among depositors, increasingly favoring interest-bearing accounts amid ongoing global monetary tightening.

While the US Federal Reserve kept rates steady in recent months following 100 basis points of cuts last year, the risk of renewed inflation, partly due to rising import tariffs, may have delayed further easing.

Given that SAMA typically mirrors Fed rate decisions to maintain the riyal鈥檚 dollar peg, this has reinforced the appeal of yield-generating instruments like term deposits among Saudi savers.

Term deposits, which offer higher returns than conventional bank accounts in exchange for holding funds over a fixed period, have become more attractive to Saudi savers seeking to lock in interest income amid volatile economic signals.

Despite this surge, demand deposits, accounts that allow immediate access to funds, still hold the largest share at 47.84 percent, or SR1.46 trillion. However, this marks their lowest proportion in nearly five years.

Growth in this category slowed to 3.9 percent year on year, reflecting a broader migration toward savings products.

Meanwhile, quasi-money deposits, which include foreign currency deposits and marginally liquid instruments, declined by 22.85 percent to SR266.87 billion, representing 8.73 percent of the total.

Currency outside banks rose by 10.57 percent to SR251.53 billion.

Credit to businesses in the Kingdom has witnessed robust growth in recent quarters, underpinned by increased demand from key sectors such as real estate, construction, manufacturing, and broader non-oil economic activities. 

According to data from SAMA, corporate lending grew by over 22 percent year on year in March, reflecting the banking sector鈥檚 critical role in financing Vision 2030-linked projects and supporting economic diversification.

This strong lending momentum has contributed to a tightening liquidity environment. As loans continue to grow at a faster pace than deposits, reflected in the rising loan-to-money supply ratio, which climbed from 95 percent in March 2024 to 101.51 percent in March 2025, banks have increasingly turned to capital markets to maintain liquidity.

In particular, Saudi banks have ramped up their sukuk issuances and other debt instruments to meet financing demand while preserving balance sheet stability.

For example, several major financial institutions, including Al Rajhi Bank and Saudi National Bank, have recently raised multibillion-riyal sukuk to bolster their funding base.

海角直播鈥檚 expanding reliance on debt markets to fund its ambitious development agenda has been met with continued confidence from major credit rating agencies, reflecting the Kingdom鈥檚 robust fiscal position and commitment to economic diversification.

In 2024, the total value of listed sukuk and debt instruments in the Kingdom rose by more than 20 percent year-on-year, reaching SR663.5 billion, up from SR549.8 billion in 2023, according to data from the Capital Market Authority. This marks a significant acceleration in domestic debt issuance, underscoring the sector鈥檚 growing dependence on capital markets to maintain liquidity amid sustained loan expansion.

Moody鈥檚 Investors Service upgraded 海角直播鈥檚 credit rating to 鈥淎a3鈥 from 鈥淎1鈥 in November, citing the country鈥檚 efforts to diversify beyond its oil economy.

The agency noted that these diversification efforts would mitigate the Kingdom鈥檚 vulnerability to oil market fluctuations and the global carbon transition over time.

Similarly, S&P Global Ratings revised 海角直播鈥檚 outlook to positive in September, affirming its 鈥淎/A-1鈥 ratings.

The agency highlighted the Kingdom鈥檚 strong non-oil growth outlook and economic resilience, expecting an acceleration of investments to develop newer industries, such as tourism, and diversify the economy away from its primary reliance on the upstream hydrocarbon sector.

These affirmations by major credit rating agencies underscore the nation鈥檚 solid creditworthiness and the effectiveness of its economic reforms under Vision 2030, even as it increases borrowing to finance its transformative projects.


海角直播, Spain sign MoU to boost SME sectors and deepen economic ties

海角直播, Spain sign MoU to boost SME sectors and deepen economic ties
Updated 42 min 40 sec ago

海角直播, Spain sign MoU to boost SME sectors and deepen economic ties

海角直播, Spain sign MoU to boost SME sectors and deepen economic ties
  • Deal to back SMEs through partnerships and initiatives
  • Saudi-Spanish Joint Commission meeting focused on focused on strengthening economic, social, and cultural ties

RIYADH: 海角直播 and Spain are set to strengthen cooperation between small- and medium-sized enterprises thanks to a wide-ranging agreement across key sectors.

The memorandum of understanding, signed by Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim and Spanish Minister of Economy, Trade and Business Carlos Cuerpo in Riyadh, outlines joint efforts in economic modeling and policy-making.

It aims to back SMEs through partnerships and initiatives, as well as facilitating joint projects and bilateral participation in economic events, according to a statement by the Ministry of Economy and Planning.

The agreement comes as the Kingdom鈥檚 Vision 2030 plan aims to further elevate the SME sector鈥檚 contribution to 35 percent of the gross domestic product by the end of the decade as part of its economic diversification initiative.

The signing of the agreement coincided with the fourth session of the Saudi-Spanish Joint Commission, which convened in Riyadh. The meeting was co-chaired by Al-Ibrahim and Cuerpo, with senior officials from both countries in attendance.

鈥淥fficials from both sides joined the session to discuss ongoing and future initiatives aimed at enhancing economic, social, and cultural collaboration between the two countries,鈥 the Ministry of Economy and Planning said on X.

The session focused on strengthening economic, social, and cultural ties, reflecting the deep-rooted partnership and shared ambitions between the Kingdom and Spain.

The MoU also includes the exchange of information and statistics related to industry, technology and innovation to achieve sustainable development goals within the framework of Saudi Vision 2030.鈥

In an interview with Al Arabiya, Cuerpo described the relationship between 海角直播 and Spain as a strong and deepening economic partnership, highlighting the Kingdom鈥檚 central role as the European country鈥檚 primary trade partner in the region and noting the steady growth in bilateral trade in recent years.

鈥淚 say over the past three years, it鈥檚 grown by 13 percent. Investment has grown, also, heavily over the past few years. But there is still room for us to grow, for us to further collaborate and further diversify our relations, particularly in terms of investment, and particularly also in terms of the presence of Spanish companies here and also of Saudi companies in Spain,鈥 Cuerpo said.

He continued: 鈥淛ust look at the presence of Spanish companies in the Kingdom, it has grown by 60 percent over the past three years, and in particular in key sectors for the Vision 2030 like energy, infrastructure or others 鈥 water, for example.鈥

In October, Bandar Alkhorayef, minister of industry and mineral resources, discussed ways to develop economic relations with Cuerpo and increase Spain鈥檚 investments in 海角直播.

Alkhorayef highlighted the goals of Saudi Vision 2030 to diversify the Kingdom鈥檚 economy and, through various incentives, attract foreign investment in the industrial and mining sectors.


Qatar tourism sector accounts for 8% of GDP, official says聽

Qatar tourism sector accounts for 8% of GDP, official says聽
Updated 22 min 58 sec ago

Qatar tourism sector accounts for 8% of GDP, official says聽

Qatar tourism sector accounts for 8% of GDP, official says聽
  • Qatar anks among the highest spenders on healthcare, allocating up to 12% of its annual budget
  • Gulf nation welcomed over 1.5 million international visitors in the first quarter of 2025

RIYADH: Qatar鈥檚 tourism industry contributed 55 billion Qatari riyals ($15.1 billion) to the country鈥檚 gross domestic product in 2024, accounting for 8 percent of total economic output, according to a senior official.  

The figure marks a 14 percent increase compared with 2023, Chairman of Qatar Tourism Saad bin Ali Al-Kharji said during a high-level business forum in Doha, the country鈥檚 news agency reported. 

The uptick aligns with the Gulf nation鈥檚 broader Tourism Strategy 2030, which aims to boost the sector鈥檚 contribution to 12 percent of GDP and attract 6 million visitors by the end of the decade. 

The report stated: 鈥淗is Excellency highlighted some of 2024鈥檚 achievements, which saw international visitor arrivals reached 5 million, a 25 percent year-on-year increase, with in-destination spend totaling nearly QAR 40 billion.鈥  

It added: 鈥淭he hospitality sector also achieved a key milestone, recording 10 million room nights sold during the year.鈥  

Speaking during a panel discussion titled 鈥淭ourism in Focus鈥 at the 5th edition of the Qatar Economic Forum, Al-Kharji emphasized the global shift in travel demand toward lifestyle-oriented and purpose-driven experiences, such as wellness retreats, cultural immersion, and luxurious nature-based getaways. 

He further noted that travelers are increasingly prioritizing experiences like personalized accommodations, culinary adventures, and curated cultural activities over traditional material purchases. 

鈥淨atar鈥檚 strategy aligns with these trends, focusing on six high-potential demand spaces and delivering 54 strategic projects across product development, regulation, and visitor experience enhancement,鈥 the QNA report stated.  

The chairman highlighted that his organization is working closely with the Ministry of Public Health to develop a dedicated health tourism strategy, with several plans already approved. 

The Gulf nation ranks among the highest spenders on healthcare, allocating up to 12 percent of its annual budget to the sector, and Al-Kharji added that further investments will boost tourism related to the industry.

Qatar is also gearing up to host several major international sporting events in the coming years, including the FIFA U-17 World Cup annually from 2025 to 2029, the FIBA Basketball World Cup in 2027, and the 2030 Asian Games. 

The chairman underscored Qatar鈥檚 commitment to combining luxury with sustainability across all projects, citing examples such as the Ras Abu Aboud Resort and the Qatar National Convention Centre. The center was the first venue in the region to be certified for both luxury and sustainability, alongside Msheireb Downtown Doha, which was developed to embody both eco-consciousness and upscale living. 

According to figures released in May, Qatar welcomed over 1.5 million international visitors in the first quarter of 2025, as the country continues to advance its tourism strategy built on major events, strategic partnerships, and diverse travel experiences. 

While slightly below the 1.6 million visitors recorded during the same period in 2024, the latest figures underscore Qatar鈥檚 sustained momentum in attracting global travelers.