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Why is Gaza truce under threat?

Why is Gaza truce under threat?
Palestinians ride a horse cart amid the devastation in Beit Hanun in the northern Gaza Strip on February 12, 2025. (AFP)
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Updated 13 February 2025

Why is Gaza truce under threat?

Why is Gaza truce under threat?
  • The warring parties have already completed five exchanges of Israeli hostages and Palestinian prisoners, but have in recent days have entered into a blame game over the implementation of the deal
  • US President Trump’s forceful backing of ally Israel has put the ceasefire under strain, and particularly his proposal to take over the Gaza Strip

JERUSALEM: A little over three weeks since it came into effect, a ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas that halted the Gaza war has become increasingly fragile.
Under the truce, the warring parties have already completed five exchanges of Israeli hostages and Palestinian prisoners, but have in recent days have entered into a blame game over the implementation of the deal.
US President Donald Trump’s forceful backing of ally Israel has put the ceasefire under strain, and particularly his proposal to take over the Gaza Strip and remove its Palestinian inhabitants.
The truce is currently in its first phase. The next ones have not yet been finalized.
Here are the positions of the key actors who could decide the future of the truce:
For days now, Hamas has accused Israel of not respecting the agreement, saying that the amount and type of aid entering Gaza was insufficent.
Israeli authorities have denied the claims.
In several statements, the Palestinian militants have said they had not received machinery requested to clear the rubble in Gaza, and complained about obstacles to evacuating wounded people to Egypt under the terms of the agreement.
On Wednesday, Hamas said that as a result of the Israeli violations it would postpone indefinitely the next hostage release, which was due to take place on February 15.
Hugh Lovatt, a researcher at the European Council on Foreign Relations, told AFP that the announcement from Hamas may be an attempt to force a decision on the next phases of the truce.
“Hamas’s aim is to break the deadlock in the negotiations on the second phase of the agreement,” he said, adding that the Palestinian movement has been trying to obtain guarantees that the ceasefire will hold and the war will come of a permanent end.
It’s a “Hail Mary pass,” said Lovatt, “because they fear that Israel will take advantage of Trump’s support to impose new conditions and delay the implementation of the agreement.”
The ongoing first phase of the ceasefire is for 42 days. During this period, negotiations for the second phase were meant to start but that has not happened yet.
On Wednesday, a Hamas delegation arrived in Cairo to discuss the disputes over the agreement with Egyptian negotiators.
But a Hamas spokesman warned that the group would not bow down to the “language of threats” from the United States and Israel.
Trump on Monday said “all hell” would break out in Gaza if Hamas did not free all Israeli hostages held in the territory by Saturday noon.
Under the terms of the truce, not all hostages were meant to be freed during the first phase.
The president’s threat came soon after he announced a plan for the United States to take control of the Gaza Strip and move its almost 2.4 million residents to Jordan or Egypt.
The proposal has provoked widespread international condemnation, and experts have said it would violate international law.
Yonatan Freeman, an international relations expert at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, said that Trump’s statements had “underscored the US backing of Israel.”
“Trump and Netanyahu have both emphasized the importance of releasing hostages,” Freeman said.
He said that despite making threats, he did not believe that either Trump of Israel’s leaders wanted the war to resume.
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has said Hamas cannot be allowed to use the ceasefire to “rebuild itself and recover strength.”
Echoing statements from the US president, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Tuesday that Israel would resume “intense fighting” in Gaza if Hamas did not return hostages by Saturday.
Netanyahu did not specify whether he expected all the hostages to be freed, or a smaller batch due for release under the terms of the deal.
“It’s in his best interest to do it gradually,” said Mairav Zonszein, a senior analyst with the International Crisis Group.
According to her, Netanyahu was deliberately being ambiguous and was “buying time” to extend the first stage of the truce and delay talks about the post-war future of the Gaza Strip.
But Netanyahu also faces domestic “public pressure” to secure the release of the remaining hostages, including through indirect negotiations with Hamas, said Zonszein.
“It could be a determining factor that when the three hostages came out last Saturday, they looked really, really bad,” she said of the three Israelis freed on Saturday.
They appeared emaciated, spurring concern among Israelis for the fate of those still in captivity.
Despite their disputes, Zonszein said that the sides have not “given up on anything yet.”
“They’re just playing power games.”


US says it has regional support for Gaza peace resolution and proposed UN stabilization force

US says it has regional support for Gaza peace resolution and proposed UN stabilization force
Updated 06 November 2025

US says it has regional support for Gaza peace resolution and proposed UN stabilization force

US says it has regional support for Gaza peace resolution and proposed UN stabilization force
  • Under the draft proposal, governance of Gaza would be transferred away from Hamas and demilitarization imposed on the group
  • A copy of the draft resolution was circulated Wednesday night for formal consideration by Security Council

NEW YORK CITY: The US mission to the UN on Wednesday said that key regional partners, including ֱ, Qatar and the UAE, have thrown their weight behind its draft resolution for Gaza.

The development signals a diplomatic push within the UN Security Council to advance a two-year transitional mandate for the war-torn enclave, and the deployment of an international stabilization force.

During a meeting convened by the US ambassador to the UN, Mike Waltz, the 10 elected, non-permanent members of the council (Algeria, Denmark, Greece, Guyana, Pakistan, Panama, South Korea, Sierra Leone, Slovenia and Somalia), joined by regional states including ֱ, Egypt, Qatar, Turkiye and the UAE, expressed support for the Washington-led initiative, a spokesperson for the US mission said.

The draft resolution endorses the creation of a transitional governance body, a so-called “Board of Peace.” Control of Gaza would therefore be transferred out of the hands of Hamas, and demilitarization would be imposed on the group.

The draft resolution also authorizes the deployment of an “International Stabilization Force” in Gaza that would operate under a two-year UN mandate. It would have the authority to use “all necessary measures” to protect civilians, oversee flows of humanitarian aid, secure zones along the borders with Israel and Egypt, demilitarize non-state actors, and train a new Palestinian police force.

A copy of the draft resolution was circulated Wednesday night for formal consideration by all 15 members of the Security Council. 

The regional buy-in to the draft reflects the “historic opportunity” to end decades of bloodshed in the Middle East and transform Gaza into a safer, more prosperous territory, the spokesperson continued, and underlines the intent of the US to translate the resolution into results rather than “endless talk.”

The backing of major regional actors is significant because their participation is widely viewed as a prerequisite for authorization of any multinational stabilization force to operate in Gaza, and gain international legitimacy.

The US spokesperson stressed that no US troops would be deployed in Gaza. Instead, Washington has engaged in talks with states including Indonesia, the UAE, Egypt, Qatar, Turkiye and Azerbaijan about contributing troops to an international stabilization force.

The draft text reportedly stipulates that such a force would operate under a unified command, as agreed by the Board of Peace, Egypt and Israel once status-of-mission agreements are reached.

It further outlines a sequence of events through which the force will stabilize the security situation in Gaza, demilitarize non-state armed groups, decommission weapons, and oversee training and support for the newly vetted Palestinian police force.