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OPEC revises down global oil demand growth forecasts for 2024, 2025

The revision, announced on Tuesday, underscores weaker demand expectations for key regions such as China, India, and other parts of the world.
The revision, announced on Tuesday, underscores weaker demand expectations for key regions such as China, India, and other parts of the world.
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Updated 12 November 2024

OPEC revises down global oil demand growth forecasts for 2024, 2025

OPEC revises down global oil demand growth forecasts for 2024, 2025
  • OPEC revised its 2024 global oil demand growth estimate to 1.82 million barrels per day, down from 1.93 million bpd forecast last month

LONDON: The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries has again downgraded its global oil demand growth projections for both 2024 and 2025, marking the fourth consecutive reduction.

The revision, announced on Tuesday, underscores weaker demand expectations for key regions such as China, India, and other parts of the world.

The updated forecast highlights the ongoing challenges faced by OPEC+, the broader alliance that includes OPEC members and partners like Russia. Earlier this month, OPEC+ delayed plans to increase oil output starting in December, citing concerns over falling oil prices.

In its latest monthly report, OPEC revised its 2024 global oil demand growth estimate to 1.82 million barrels per day, down from 1.93 million bpd forecast last month. This marks the first revision to the outlook since it was initially set in July 2023.

China was the primary driver of the downward revision. OPEC reduced its forecast for Chinese oil demand growth to 450,000 bpd, down from 580,000 bpd, noting that diesel consumption in September dropped year on year for the seventh consecutive month. OPEC attributed this decline to a slowdown in construction and weak manufacturing activity, as well as the rising use of LNG-fueled trucks in China.

The weaker outlook weighed on oil prices, with Brent crude trading below $73 per barrel following the release of the report.

The demand outlook for 2024 remains uncertain, with significant differences among forecasters regarding the strength of global demand growth, particularly concerning China’s recovery and the pace at which the world transitions to cleaner fuels.

In addition to the 2024 revision, OPEC also lowered its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2025 to 1.54 million bpd, down from the previous estimate of 1.64 million bpd.


Pakistan, US agree to finalize trade deal ‘at the earliest’ after Trump’s reciprocal tariffs

Pakistan, US agree to finalize trade deal ‘at the earliest’ after Trump’s reciprocal tariffs
Updated 13 sec ago

Pakistan, US agree to finalize trade deal ‘at the earliest’ after Trump’s reciprocal tariffs

Pakistan, US agree to finalize trade deal ‘at the earliest’ after Trump’s reciprocal tariffs
  • Finance Minister Aurangzeb holds a virtual meeting with US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick
  • Both sides agree to hold technical-level talks in the coming days under a mutually agreed roadmap

KARACHI: Pakistan and the United States have agreed to move forward with negotiations aimed at finalizing a trade deal “at the earliest,” as Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb and US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick held a virtual meeting to discuss recently imposed American “reciprocal tariffs,” Pakistan’s finance ministry said on Tuesday.

Last month, Islamabad announced it had formally launched talks with the US following the imposition of steep tariffs by President Donald Trump’s administration on several countries, including Pakistan.

The duties, which Washington says are meant to correct trade imbalances and ensure fair treatment of American goods, have been widely criticized as a blow to global economic recovery efforts in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Pakistan has been hit with a 29 percent tariff on its exports to the US at a time when the country is trying to drive economic growth through increased exports.

“Further to Pak-US negotiations on US reciprocal tariffs, a virtual meeting took place between Mr. Muhammad Aurangzeb, Pakistan’s Finance Minister, and Howard Lutnick, United States’ Commerce Secretary on 16th June, 2025,” the finance ministry said in its statement.

“Both sides resolved to carry forward their negotiations through a constructive engagement to finalize the trade deal at the earliest,” it added.

The ministry informed the discussion focused on strengthening trade and investment and deepening economic ties between the two countries.

Both sides agreed to hold further technical-level discussions in the coming days, based on a mutually agreed roadmap.

The United States is Pakistan’s largest export market, and analysts warn that the new tariffs could undermine Islamabad’s fragile economic recovery.

According to Pakistan’s central bank, the country exported $5.44 billion worth of goods to the US in 2024. From July 2024 to February 2025, exports stood at $4 billion, up 10 percent compared to the same period last year.

Nearly 90 percent of Pakistan’s exports to the US are textiles, a sector likely to bear the brunt of the tariff impact.

Trade experts have also cautioned that the duties could erode Pakistan’s competitiveness, especially if regional players such as China, Bangladesh and Vietnam shift focus to European markets, intensifying competition in alternative destinations.


Riyadh Air orders up to 50 Airbus A350 jets to expand long-haul fleet 

Riyadh Air orders up to 50 Airbus A350 jets to expand long-haul fleet 
Updated 16 June 2025

Riyadh Air orders up to 50 Airbus A350 jets to expand long-haul fleet 

Riyadh Air orders up to 50 Airbus A350 jets to expand long-haul fleet 
  • Deal includes 25 firm orders and purchase rights for an additional 25 aircraft
  • A350-1000s will enable long-haul connections ahead of high-profile events

JEDDAH: ֱ’s Riyadh Air has signed a deal to acquire up to 50 Airbus A350-1000 aircraft as it gears up to launch operations later this year. 

The agreement, signed at the 55th Paris Air Show, includes 25 firm orders and purchase rights for an additional 25 aircraft. The deal supports Riyadh Air’s plan to build a wide-body fleet capable of serving over 100 destinations globally by 2030.  

Owned by the Public Investment Fund, Riyadh Air was unveiled in March 2023 by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman as part of ֱ’s strategy to become a global aviation hub by expanding connectivity to over 250 destinations and tripling annual passenger traffic to 330 million. 

In a statement, Yasir Al-Rumayyan, PIF governor and chairman of Riyadh Air, said: “Our new national carrier is set to take to the skies in the near future, and as a fundamental element of the Kingdom of ֱ’s infrastructure, will connect our capital city to over 100 international destinations around the globe by 2030.

He added: “With its outstanding range, adding the Airbus A350-1000 to our fleet demonstrates the strategic contribution of Riyadh Air in positioning ֱ as a global aviation hub.” 

The A350-1000s, with an operational range exceeding 16,000 km, will enable long-haul connections ahead of high-profile events such as Riyadh Expo 2030 and the FIFA World Cup 2034. 

In April, the airline received its Air Operator Certificate from the General Authority of Civil Aviation, authorizing it to commence flight operations after meeting all regulatory, safety, and operational requirements. 

“Riyadh Air is making significant progress as we move towards our first flight later this year and agreeing this deal for up to 50 Airbus A350-1000 aircraft is an important statement of intent,” said Tony Douglas, CEO of Riyadh Air. 

The airline’s launch supports ֱ’s broader efforts to diversify its economy. According to the General Authority for Civil Aviation, the aviation industry generated $32.2 billion in tourism receipts and supported more than 958,000 jobs in 2023 — 241,000 in aviation and 717,000 in tourism-related sectors. 

“We play an important role in the evolution of the Saudi aviation ecosystem with the aim to create 200,000 direct and indirect jobs and contribute almost $20 billion to the Kingdom’s non-oil GDP,” added Douglas. 

The sector is a key pillar of the National Transport and Logistics Strategy, which aims to raise its gross domestic product contribution from 6 percent to 10 percent by 2030. 

Christian Scherer, CEO of commercial aircraft at Airbus, said: “This partnership reflects our shared commitment to innovation and decarbonization whilst connecting the vibrant Kingdom of ֱ to the world!”  


Closing Bell: TASI gains 135 points after positive market breadth 

Closing Bell: TASI gains 135 points after positive market breadth 
Updated 16 June 2025

Closing Bell: TASI gains 135 points after positive market breadth 

Closing Bell: TASI gains 135 points after positive market breadth 
  • Market breadth was strongly positive with 223 gainers and 23 fallers
  • Trading activity remained robust with a total value of SR4.87 billion

RIYADH: ֱ’s Tadawul All Share Index closed higher on Monday, advancing 135.45 points, or 1.26 percent, to end at 10,867.04. 

Market breadth was strongly positive with 223 gainers and 23 fallers. Trading activity remained robust with a total value of SR4.87 billion ($1.2 billion), supported by optimism across key sectors. 

Among the top gainers, Red Sea International Co. rose 10 percent to SR36.85, while CHUBB Arabia Cooperative Insurance Co. added 9.98 percent to end at SR33.60.  

National Gypsum Co. and Saudi Enaya Cooperative Insurance Co. gained 9.97 percent and 8.02 percent, respectively, closing at SR19.42 and SR9.29. 

ACWA Power Co. also rose 6.94 percent to close at SR262.00. 

Among the worst performers, MBC Group Co. led losses with a decline of 3.11 percent to close at SR35.80.

Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group followed, shedding 2.30 percent to settle at SR255, while Gulf Union Alahlia Cooperative Insurance Co. fell 1.63 percent to SR14.52.  

Middle East Specialized Cables Co. ended the session down 1.13 percent at SR30.55, and Dr. Soliman Abdel Kader Fakeeh Hospital Co. edged 0.75 percent lower to SR39.85. 

On the announcement front, ASAS Makeen Real Estate Development and Investment Co. began trading on the Nomu-Parallel Market on June 16, with shares priced at SR80 each. 

The company’s stock rose 14.38 percent to close at SR91.50 after it confirmed the signing of an SR240 million real estate development agreement with the National Housing Co. 

The stock is subject to daily and static price fluctuation limits of plus or minus 30 percent and 10 percent, respectively. 

The 42-month project includes the construction of 470 residential units in Riyadh and is expected to impact financial results in the fourth quarter following the issuance of the required license. 

ASAS Makeen offered 10 percent of its SR100 million capital, or one million shares, in an initial public offering that was nearly 1,949 percent oversubscribed. 

Tabuk Agricultural Development Co. closed 1.90 percent higher at SR10.18 after announcing it had received the full SR14.85 million operational financing loan from the Agricultural Development Fund.

The two-year facility is secured by a mortgage on the company’s land and investment shares. 


PIF’s AviLease to acquire up to 77 Airbus jets in expansion drive


PIF’s AviLease to acquire up to 77 Airbus jets in expansion drive

Updated 16 June 2025

PIF’s AviLease to acquire up to 77 Airbus jets in expansion drive


PIF’s AviLease to acquire up to 77 Airbus jets in expansion drive

  • Order marks first direct deal with Airbus as PIF-owned lessor targets global growth
  • Agreement announced at Paris Air Show

RIYADH: ֱ’s Public Investment Fund-owned AviLease has signed a deal to purchase up to 77 Airbus aircraft, further expanding its next-generation, fuel-efficient fleet to meet rising global demand across passenger and cargo operations.

The agreement, announced at the Paris Air Show, includes 55 A320neo Family aircraft and 22 A350F freighters, with deliveries scheduled through 2033, according to a press release.

This marks AviLease’s first direct order with Airbus. The move aligns with the goals of the Saudi Aviation Strategy, which targets a rise in annual passenger capacity to 330 million and cargo throughput to 4.5 million tonnes by 2030, while enhancing the Kingdom’s status as a regional aviation hub.

“This dual order reinforces AviLease’s credentials as a leading lessor, and it demonstrates the broad appeal of our products among lessors and their airline customers,” said Benoit de Saint-Exupéry, executive vice president of sales for Airbus Commercial Aircraft.

Edward O’Byrne, CEO of AviLease, said: “We are proud to establish an Airbus order book, strengthening our position as a full-service, investment grade global lessor. The addition of these latest generation aircraft enhances our ability to offer modern, fuel-efficient fleet solutions to our airline partners in ֱ and around the world.”

Benoit de Saint-Exupery, Airbus executive vice president sales of the commercial aircraft business, and Edward O’Byrne, CEO of AviLease, the global aircraft lessor headquartered in ֱ, shake hands after a firm order signature for Airbus A350F freighters and A320neo Family aircraft, during the 55th International Paris Airshow at Le Bourget Airport near Paris, France, June 16, 2025. Reuters

The A350F freighters were selected following consultations with local stakeholders and will support ֱ’s expanding air cargo requirements. O’Byrne noted that AviLease has secured delivery slots in line with the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 goals.

“We thank our local partners and Airbus for the strong long-term partnership we have established and look forward to placing these aircraft across our valued customer base,” he said.

The A350F, according to Airbus, offers at least 20 percent lower fuel consumption, improved loading capabilities, and extended range.

The new order follows AviLease’s purchase of 30 Boeing 737 MAX aircraft in May—its first direct deal with a manufacturer—bringing its total new aircraft orders within two months to 107.

“In less than two months, AviLease has signed two major deals, reflecting its long-term ambition to become a top 10 global player in aircraft leasing and to strengthen its position as a national champion,” said Fahad Al-Saif, chairman of AviLease.

As of March 31, AviLease had a portfolio of 200 aircraft leased to 48 airlines around the world.

In April, the firm secured a $1.5 billion unsecured revolving credit facility to support its global expansion. The three-year facility attracted commitments from 20 international banks, including eight new lenders from Europe, Asia, and North America.

The company holds investment-grade ratings of Baa2 (stable) from Moody’s Ratings and BBB (stable) from Fitch Ratings.


OPEC sees solid 2nd-half of 2025 for world economy, trims 2026 supply

OPEC sees solid 2nd-half of 2025 for world economy, trims 2026 supply
Updated 16 June 2025

OPEC sees solid 2nd-half of 2025 for world economy, trims 2026 supply

OPEC sees solid 2nd-half of 2025 for world economy, trims 2026 supply

LONDON/MOSCOW: OPEC said on Monday it expected the global economy to remain resilient in the second half of this year despite concerns about trade conflicts and trimmed its forecast for growth in oil supply from producers outside the wider OPEC+ group in 2026.

In a monthly report, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries left its forecasts for global oil demand growth unchanged in 2025 and 2026, after reductions in April, saying the economic outlook was robust despite trade concerns.

“The global economy has outperformed expectations so far in the first half of 2025,” OPEC said in the report.

“This strong base from the first half of 2025 is anticipated to provide support and sufficient momentum into a sound second half of 2025. However, the growth trend is expected to moderate slightly on a quarterly basis.”

OPEC also said supply from countries outside the Declaration of Cooperation — the formal name for OPEC+ — will rise by about 730,000 barrels per day in 2026, down 70,000 bpd from last month’s forecast.

Lower supply growth from outside OPEC+, which groups the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries plus Russia and other allies, would make it easier for the wider group to balance the market. Rapid growth from US shale and from other countries has weighed on prices in recent years. (