海角直播

Jadwa Investment lowers Saudi inflation forecast to 1.7% amid strong non-oil growth

Jadwa Investment lowers Saudi inflation forecast to 1.7% amid strong non-oil growth
海角直播鈥檚 fiscal strategy remains focused on balancing its budget while continuing to invest in key areas of the economy. Shutterstock
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Updated 28 August 2024

Jadwa Investment lowers Saudi inflation forecast to 1.7% amid strong non-oil growth

Jadwa Investment lowers Saudi inflation forecast to 1.7% amid strong non-oil growth
  • Revision attributed to stable consumer price growth, with inflation increasing by only 1.6% in the first half of 2024
  • Jadwa said lower prices in clothing, footwear and transportation have mitigated inflationary pressures from housing market

RIYADH: 海角直播鈥檚 inflation is projected to drop to 1.7 percent in 2024, revised down from 2 percent, driven by robust non-oil sector growth and lower prices in key sectors, according to Jadwa Investment.聽

The Riyadh-based investment management and advisory company attributed this revision to stable consumer price growth, with inflation increasing by only 1.6 percent in the first half of the year.聽

Jadwa said that lower prices in clothing, footwear, and transportation have mitigated inflationary pressures from the housing market. This trend aligns with global patterns, where easing demand and improved supply chains are reducing price pressures.聽

Despite the overall moderation in inflation, housing costs remain a significant driver, particularly in the 鈥榬entals for housing鈥 segment. Prices in this category have stayed high due to elevated demand and a tight rental market, exacerbated by high interest rates prompting more Saudis to rent rather than buy homes.聽

The report said that this trend is expected to persist, maintaining pressure on prices within the housing and utilities segment, which constitutes 25 percent of the Consumer Price Index.聽

The sector鈥檚 performance is influenced by the government鈥檚 Vision 2030 initiatives aimed at increasing housing availability and improving quality of life.聽

Jadwa also anticipates a gradual rebound in food and beverage prices in the latter half of the year. The Food and Agriculture Organization鈥檚 food price index showed a 2.5 percent increase in the first half of 2024, suggesting potential upward pressure on local prices.聽

Rising shipping costs may also contribute marginally to future price increases. Nevertheless, overall inflation is expected to remain lower than initially forecasted, reflecting effective economic policy management.聽

In a broader economic context, Jadwa Investment observed robust growth in 海角直播鈥檚 non-oil sectors, a key component of the Kingdom鈥檚 Vision 2030 diversification strategy.聽

The firm projects real non-oil gross domestic product to grow by 4.5 percent in 2024, slightly above the 4.4 percent growth recorded last year. This growth is driven by strong performances in domestic trade, transport, and construction, supported by significant public and private investment.聽

The second half of 2024, particularly the fourth quarter, is expected to see accelerated economic activity as 海角直播 continues efforts to reduce reliance on oil revenues.聽

These sectors are crucial to Vision 2030鈥檚 goal of creating a diversified and resilient economy through enhanced infrastructure and innovation.聽

The oil sector, however, presents a more challenging outlook. The Kingdom鈥檚 crude oil production is expected to average around 9 million barrels per day in 2024, following OPEC+鈥檚 decision to extend production cuts in June.聽

As a result, the hydrocarbons GDP is projected to contract by 6 percent, contributing to a modest overall economic growth of 1.5 percent for the year.聽

This contraction highlights the ongoing challenges faced by the oil sector, which has been under pressure due to global market conditions and production constraints.聽

The oil market鈥檚 volatility remains a key concern, especially given the global economic uncertainties that have led to fluctuations in demand.聽

Adding to this complex landscape, OPEC鈥檚 recent projections suggest global oil demand will grow by 2.1 million barrels per day in 2024, slightly down from the previous estimate of 2.2 million bpd.聽

The organization expects demand growth to slow further in 2025 to 1.8 million bpd, reflecting weaker global economic activity.聽

Meanwhile, non-OPEC+ supply is forecasted to increase by 1.2 million bpd in 2024, which is less than the expected demand, providing some justification for the partial unwinding of OPEC+ production cuts as outlined in their June agreement.聽

These dynamics are critical as they influence 海角直播鈥檚 oil production strategy, which is carefully calibrated to maintain market stability while ensuring the Kingdom鈥檚 economic resilience.聽

On the fiscal front, Jadwa maintains a stable outlook, projecting that the budget deficit will remain at 2 percent of GDP in 2024, consistent with the previous year.聽

This projection is supported by higher non-oil revenues, driven by strong domestic demand and increased government spending.聽

The report also highlights the role of increased dividends from oil giant Aramco in maintaining hydrocarbon revenue levels, despite lower oil production volumes.聽

These dividends, particularly the performance-related payouts, have been crucial in stabilizing the Kingdom鈥檚 fiscal position.聽

海角直播鈥檚 fiscal strategy remains focused on balancing its budget while continuing to invest in key areas of the economy, aligning with Vision 2030鈥檚 goals of sustainable growth and diversification.聽

Looking ahead, the report forecasts Brent crude prices to average $84 per barrel in 2024, consistent with the average over the past 18 months.聽

However, for 2025, prices are expected to decrease slightly to $82 per barrel, influenced by a combination of challenges to global GDP growth and anticipated increases in OPEC+ supply.聽

Despite these challenges, OPEC+ is expected to maintain a flexible approach to ensuring global oil market stability, with Saudi production anticipated to rise to 9.5 million bpd in 2025.聽

This outlook, however, carries risks, including potential slowdowns in major economies like the US and China, which could impact demand, and geopolitical tensions that could lead to oil price volatility.聽

While 海角直播 faces challenges in the oil sector, the resilience and growth of its non-oil economy underscore the success of the Vision 2030 initiatives.聽

These efforts continue to drive economic diversification, ensuring that the Kingdom remains on a stable growth trajectory despite global economic uncertainties.聽

As the Kingdom navigates these complex dynamics, its focus on innovation, infrastructure, and strategic investments will be key to sustaining long-term growth.聽


Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 10,866聽

Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 10,866聽
Updated 21 August 2025

Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 10,866聽

Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 10,866聽

RIYADH: 海角直播鈥檚 Tadawul All Share Index edged lower on Thursday, slipping 11.24 points, or 0.10 percent, to end at 10,866.83. 

The benchmark鈥檚 total trading turnover stood at SR5.21 billion ($1.38 billion), with 87 stocks advancing and 159 declining. 

Similarly, the Kingdom鈥檚 parallel market Nomu fell 94.16 points, or 0.35 percent, to settle at 26,535.79, as 42 stocks gained while 51 retreated. 

Meanwhile, the MSCI Tadawul Index inched up 2.43 points, or 0.17 percent, to close at 1,409.05. 

The best-performing stock of the day was Saudi Basic Industries Corp., which jumped 7.65 percent to SR61.90. 

Other notable gainers included Sahara International Petrochemical Co., up 5.32 percent to SR20.01, and Fawaz Abdulaziz Alhokair Co., which climbed 5.17 percent to SR23.99. 

On the other hand, Halwani Bros. Co. posted the sharpest loss, falling 4.92 percent to SR43.26. 

Jahez International Co. for Information System Technology fell 3.84 percent to SR22.31, while Saudi Awwal Bank declined 3.73 percent to SR30.96.   

On the corporate announcements front, Axelerated Solutions for Information and Communication Technology Co. released its interim financial results for the period ending June 30.

According to a Tadawul statement, the company posted a net profit of SR33.8 million during the first half of the year, up 94 percent from the same period last year.  

The profit growth was mainly attributed to a 91 percent surge in gross profit to SR45.4 million, compared to SR23.8 million a year earlier, alongside an SR86.8 million increase in revenue and an SR1.8 million boost in other income.   

The company鈥檚 board also recommended distributing SR8.4 million in cash dividends to shareholders for the first half of 2025.

A Tadawul filing showed that 28 million shares are eligible, with a dividend of SR0.30 per share, equivalent to 30 percent of the share鈥檚 par value. 

Axelerated Solutions closed the session at SR28, marking a 3.70 percent gain. 

Arriyadh Development Co. announced an update on its partnership agreement with Saudi Real Estate Co. and Riyadh Holding Co. to establish a special-purpose vehicle to develop educational complexes.  

Arriyadh Development Co. ended the day at SR32.70, up 0.86 percent.  


GCC Islamic insurers see growth but face 2025 profit squeeze, S&P says

GCC Islamic insurers see growth but face 2025 profit squeeze, S&P says
Updated 21 August 2025

GCC Islamic insurers see growth but face 2025 profit squeeze, S&P says

GCC Islamic insurers see growth but face 2025 profit squeeze, S&P says
  • Saudi insurers led the surge, generating around $960 million last year
  • Credit ratings for Islamic insurers will remain largely stable

RIYADH: The Gulf Cooperation Council鈥檚 Islamic insurance sector is set to maintain around 10 percent annual growth in 2025 and 2026, buoyed by population expansion, infrastructure spending, and regulatory reforms, according to S&P Global Ratings. 

海角直播, the region鈥檚 largest Islamic insurance market, will continue to drive growth as Vision 2030 megaprojects fuel demand for coverage, S&P said in its latest white paper. 

Islamic insurance, or Takaful, has expanded rapidly across the GCC in recent years, logging 24 percent to 28 percent growth in 2022 and 2023. Strong government backing, mandatory health insurance regulations, and a rising awareness of Sharia-compliant financial products have supported the sector鈥檚 expansion. 

鈥淚slamic and Takaful insurers in the GCC region continue to benefit from favorable growth prospects, and we therefore expect 2025 to be another year with solid top-line growth,鈥 S&P said. 

However, the agency cautioned that 鈥渉eightened competition in motor and medical lines, primarily in 海角直播, the largest Islamic insurance market in the region, will likely weigh on overall earnings in 2025.鈥 

The sector posted record earnings in 2024, with aggregate net profit rising to about $1.1 billion, up from $940 million in 2023. Saudi insurers led the surge, generating around $960 million last year versus $853 million a year earlier, while earnings in other GCC markets climbed to over $120 million from $87 million. 

In 2024, insurers in the GCC region excluding 海角直播 recorded 13 percent revenue growth, while the Kingdom experienced a 14 percent expansion. 

S&P said that net earnings for the sector in the first half of 2025 fell 35 percent year on year, citing a 40 percent drop in profits in the Saudi market and weaker earnings in other regional markets. 

This is mainly attributed to 鈥渉eightened competition in motor and medical lines, as well as a decline in investment returns,鈥 it added. 

Strong credit ratings 

According to S&P, credit ratings for Islamic insurers in the GCC will remain largely stable over the next 12 months, as most players are well capitalized. 

The report added that total shareholder equity in the sector rose to approximately $8.5 billion in 2024, up from $7.5 billion in 2023, supported by strong earnings and capital injections. 

S&P Global Ratings projects that overall credit conditions for Islamic insurers will remain relatively stable over the next 12 months. However, it said that 鈥渟ome loss-making players will continue to face challenges relating to solvency and other regulatory demands,鈥 which could prompt them to pursue mergers and acquisitions or raise capital to meet their needs. 

In June, Fitch Ratings echoed similar views, saying that mergers and acquisitions are set to accelerate in 海角直播鈥檚 insurance industry as many firms struggle to meet new capital requirements or remain profitable amid intense competition and rising costs. 

Fitch also noted that several smaller insurers are already in discussions with larger rivals to strengthen their capital positions and ensure long-term survival. 

鈥淐onsolidation is particularly evident among smaller and midsize players in 海角直播 and the UAE, as economies of scale become more important,鈥 S&P said in its latest report, adding that thin capital buffers and rising regulatory and solvency requirements will continue to drive consolidation in the sector. 

Potential challenges 

S&P warned that a flare-up in the conflict between Israel and Iran, along with any regional escalation, could negatively affect business sentiment across the Middle East, including the GCC, and pressure insurers鈥 earnings. 

Although global tariff disputes have so far had minimal impact on GCC economies and insurers, S&P cautioned that ongoing volatility in capital markets could weigh heavily on earnings if trade tensions escalate. 


UAE central bank boosts gold reserves by 26% to $7.9bn in first 5 months

UAE central bank boosts gold reserves by 26% to $7.9bn in first 5 months
Updated 21 August 2025

UAE central bank boosts gold reserves by 26% to $7.9bn in first 5 months

UAE central bank boosts gold reserves by 26% to $7.9bn in first 5 months

RIYADH: Gold reserves held by the Central Bank of the UAE increased by 25.9 percent during the first five months of 2025 to reach 28.93 billion dirhams ($7.9 billion).

The regulator鈥檚 statistical bulletin revealed that the UAE鈥檚 gold holdings also edged up on a monthly basis, recording a 0.49 percent rise in May to 28.79 billion dirhams, compared to 28.65 billion dirhams at the end of April, Emirates News Agency reported.

In addition to stronger gold reserves, the bulletin showed that demand deposits grew significantly, surpassing 1.16 trillion dirhams by the end of May. This was an increase from 1.10 trillion dirhams at the end of 2024.

Of the total, 892.57 billion dirhams were held in local currency, while 274.33 billion dirhams were in foreign currencies.

Savings deposits also registered a sharp increase, climbing to 359.57 billion dirhams by the end of May from 317.48 billion dirhams in December. Local currency savings accounted for 305.51 billion dirhams, while the figure for foreign currency stood at 54.06 billion dirhams.

Furthermore, time deposits surpassed the 1 trillion dirham mark for the first time by the end of May. Of this figure, 614.85 billion dirhams were denominated in local currency, while 398.35 billion dirhams were in foreign currencies.

The UAE鈥檚 banking sector continued its steady expansion, with total assets, including bankers鈥 acceptances, rising 0.6 percent in April to 4.75 trillion dirhams.

The increase was driven by resilient credit demand and a surge in non-resident deposits, Emirates News Agency reported.

Across the Gulf, banking performance was mixed. Kuwait posted a 6.7 percent year-on-year rise in assets to 93.5 billion dinars ($303 billion) in March, while 海角直播 saw a 7.4 percent jump to SR5.3 trillion ($1.41 trillion) in April. 

Qatar, however, recorded a marginal 0.1 percent monthly decline in total assets to 2.07 trillion riyals ($559 billion), reflecting weaker domestic holdings.

Global prices

Gold prices edged lower on Thursday after the US Federal Reserve鈥檚 July meeting minutes showed a majority consensus on holding interest rates steady.

Spot gold was down 0.2 percent at $3,340.09 per ounce, as of 11:02 a.m. Saudi time. US gold futures for December delivery also lost 0.2 percent to $3,382.30.

Minutes from the Fed鈥檚 July meeting showed the policymakers who dissented against last month鈥檚 decision to keep interest rates unchanged were alone in advocating for a rate cut.

Non-yielding gold typically performs well in a low interest rate environment.

The Fed has held rates steady since December, although investors still expect an 81 percent chance of a quarter-point cut by September, according to the CME鈥檚 FedWatch tool.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to speak on Friday at the Aug. 21-23 Jackson Hole symposium, with investors watching whether he backs measures to bolster the labor market or focuses on curbing inflation.


Saudi Industry Ministry, SIC partner to empower innovators

Saudi Industry Ministry, SIC partner to empower innovators
Updated 21 August 2025

Saudi Industry Ministry, SIC partner to empower innovators

Saudi Industry Ministry, SIC partner to empower innovators

JEDDAH: Saudi entrepreneurs and innovators in the industrial and mining sectors are set to gain support through a new partnership aimed at driving development, creativity, and digital transformation.

The Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources signed a cooperation agreement with the Saudi Innovation Club to implement joint programs and initiatives as part of efforts to empower national talent in the two sectors, the ministry said in a statement on Aug. 21.

The agreement, signed under the patronage of Assistant Minister for Planning and Development Abdullah Al-Ahmari, aims to foster new developments and create opportunities for pioneers. It was finalized during a ministry meeting under the 鈥業nnovative Industrial and Mining Products Program鈥 connecting inventors with service providers, incubators, and accelerators.

This initiative aligns with the ministry鈥檚 wider strategy to encourage advancement in industrial and mining activities, boost global competitiveness, and strengthen their role in diversifying the Kingdom鈥檚 economy.

It builds upon the Innovative Industrial and Mining Products Program, first unveiled in December, which focuses on accelerating sectoral progress and driving digital evolution within these industries.

鈥淭he agreement sets a joint framework for the two parties to organize activities and initiatives that foster a culture of innovation and showcase innovators鈥 success stories,鈥 the statement said.

It added that the accord opens multiple avenues of collaboration, including sharing expertise, arranging business forums, conducting workshops, and launching initiatives to empower entrepreneurs and emerging talents.

The agreement was signed by Mohammed bin Saeed Al-Dughaim, general manager of the ministry鈥檚 innovation management department, and Majid bin Mohammed bin Anzan, chairman of the Saudi Innovation Club.

The ministry emphasized that this partnership underscores its commitment to advancing creative practices, raising public awareness, and creating a supportive environment for innovators in line with the Kingdom鈥檚 economic transformation goals.

According to the ministry, the Innovative Industrial and Mining Products Program represents 鈥渁 key step toward fostering innovation in the industrial and mining sectors鈥 and reflects its commitment to developing new solutions that 鈥渟upport the Kingdom鈥檚 industrial transformation and stimulate the growth and sustainability of the mining sector.鈥

Commenting on the program when first announced, Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef said the program seeks to 鈥減rovide an integrated environment that enables innovators to transform their ideas into executable and competitive products locally and internationally.鈥

He noted that the initiative will drive advancement 鈥 a cornerstone of economic growth 鈥 and advance digital transformation in the industrial and mining sectors, the minister stated in a post on his X handle at that time.


Kuwait inflation edges up to 2.39% in July on higher food, beverage prices聽

Kuwait inflation edges up to 2.39% in July on higher food, beverage prices聽
Updated 21 August 2025

Kuwait inflation edges up to 2.39% in July on higher food, beverage prices聽

Kuwait inflation edges up to 2.39% in July on higher food, beverage prices聽

RIYADH: Kuwait鈥檚 inflation inched higher in July as rising food and beverage costs pushed the annual rate to 2.39 percent, up from 2.32 percent in June, data from the Central Statistical Bureau showed. 

The food and beverages group, a key component of the index, climbed 0.63 percent month on month, while miscellaneous goods and services rose 0.43 percent and clothing and footwear gained 0.27 percent. 

The latest data follows signs of economic recovery, with real gross domestic product expanding 1 percent year on year in the first quarter of 2025, ending seven consecutive quarters of contraction, according to the National Bank of Kuwait. The rebound has been supported by steady improvements in the non-oil sector. 

In its latest report, the Central Statistical Bureau stated: 鈥淭he Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.22 percent at 137.2 as a result of the increase in prices of some major groups in the movement of the indices.鈥 

It added: 鈥淧rices of recreation and cultural group increased by 0.15 percent because of an increase in prices of audio-visual, photographic and information and tools and other recreational equipment, gardens and pets.鈥 

Prices of furnishings and household maintenance edged up 0.14 percent, reflecting cost increases in home textiles, glassware, and household utensils. By contrast, the transportation group dipped 0.07 percent, weighed by lower operating costs for personal vehicles. 

Housing, health, communication, education, and restaurants and hotels categories remained flat during the period. 

In March, Fitch Ratings reaffirmed Kuwait鈥檚 AA- long-term foreign currency rating with a stable outlook, citing its strong fiscal position and external balance sheet.

The US-based agency noted that the country鈥檚 external balance sheet remains the strongest among all Fitch-rated sovereigns, with net foreign assets projected to rise to 601 percent of GDP in 2025, up from an estimated 582 percent in 2024. 

This comes as Kuwait鈥檚 non-oil business activity continues to grow. The latest Purchasing Managers鈥 Index, released earlier this month by S&P Global, showed the PMI rising to 53.5 in July from 53.1 in June, signaling a solid monthly improvement in the non-oil private sector. 

S&P Global noted that inflationary pressures eased in July, with purchase prices and staff costs rising at their slowest pace in six and four months, respectively.

The survey also showed that Kuwaiti companies remain strongly optimistic about future growth, expecting output to rise further in the remaining months of the year.